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We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

We derive the path-integral representation of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by Riemann-Liouville fractional Gaussian noise, for both the subdiffusive and superdiffusive regimes. We express the corresponding action, which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-02 Bing Miao , Gleb Oshanin , Luca Peliti

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is interpreted as Brownian motion in a harmonic potential. This Gaussian Markov process has a bounded variance and admits a stationary probability distribution, in contrast to the standard Brownian motion. It…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-07 Pece Trajanovski , Petar Jolakoski , Kiril Zelenkovski , Alexander Iomin , Ljupco Kocarev , Trifce Sandev

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

For a risk process $R_u(t)=u+ct-X(t), t\ge 0$, where $u\ge 0$ is the initial capital, $c>0$ is the premium rate and $X(t),t\ge 0$ is an aggregate claim process, we investigate the probability of the Parisian ruin \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

In this paper, we are concerned with the numerical solution of one type integro-differential equation by a probability method based on the fundamental martingale of mixed Gaussian processes. As an application, we will try to simulate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Chunhao Cai , Weilin Xiao

The one-dimensional SDE with non Lipschitz diffusion coefficient $dX_{t} = b(X_{t})dt + \sigma X_{t}^{\gamma} dB_{t}, \ X_{0}=x, \ \gamma<1$ is widely studied in mathematical finance. Several works have proposed asymptotic analysis of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Giovanni Conforti , Stefano De Marco , Jean-Dominique Deuschel

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process describes the dynamics of Brownian particles in a confining harmonic potential, thereby constituting the paradigmatic model of overdamped, mean-reverting Langevin dynamics. Despite its widespread…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-16 Luca Cocconi , Henry Alston , Jacopo Romano , Thibault Bertrand

The main goal of this article is to derive a two-sided estimate for hitting probabilities of a hypoelliptic stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by fractional Brownian motion (fBM) with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/4,1)$ in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Xi Geng , Sheng Wang

In this study, we generalize a problem of sampling a scalar Gauss Markov Process, namely, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, where the samples are sent to a remote estimator and the estimator makes a causal estimate of the observed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Tasmeen Zaman Ornee , Yin Sun

We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function $P(u)$ for the component-wise ruin (that is both…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

We consider the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process satisfying the stochastic differential equation (SDE) $dX_t = aX_t\,dt + \sigma \sqrt{X_t}\,dB^H_t$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter exceeding…

Empirical studies indicate the existence of long range dependence in the volatility of the underlying asset. This feature can be captured by modeling its return and volatility using functions of a stationary fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

Motivated by the modeling of the temporal structure of the velocity field in a highly turbulent flow, we propose and study a linear stochastic differential equation that involves the ingredients of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, supplemented…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-26 Laurent Chevillard

In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0 e^{-s}…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Jose Igor Morlanes

In this work, we study the class of stochastic process that generalizes the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, hereafter called by \emph{Generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type Process} and denoted by GOU type process. We consider them driven by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 J. Stein , S. R. C. Lopes , A. V. Medino

We are interested in the law of the first passage time of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to time-varying thresholds. We show that this problem is connected to the laws of the first passage time of the process to members of a two-parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Aria Ahari , Larbi Alili , Massimiliano Tamborrino

We study an optimal execution problem in the presence of market impact where the security price follows a geometric Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, which implies the mean-reverting property, and show that the optimal strategy is a mixture of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-30 Takashi Kato