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We study discrete-time, finite-state mean-field games (MFGs) under model uncertainty, where agents face ambiguity about the state transition probabilities. Each agent maximizes its expected payoff against the worst-case transitions within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Zongxia Liang , Zhou Zhou , Yaqi Zhuang , Bin Zou

This paper studies approximate solutions to large-scale linear quadratic stochastic games with homogeneous nodal dynamics parameters and heterogeneous network couplings within the graphon mean field game framework in [2]-[4]. A graphon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-22 Shuang Gao , Peter E. Caines , Minyi Huang

This paper introduces warped Gaussian processes (WGP) regression in remote sensing applications. WGP models output observations as a parametric nonlinear transformation of a GP. The parameters of such prior model are then learned via…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Anna Mateo-Sanchis , Jordi Muñoz-Marí , Adrián Pérez-Suay , Gustau Camps-Valls

The control of a single agent in complex and uncertain multi-agent environments requires careful consideration of the interactions between the agents. In this context, this paper proposes a dual model predictive control (MPC) method using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 T. M. J. T. Baltussen , A. Katriniok , E. Lefeber , R. Tóth , W. P. M. H. Heemels

Gaussian processes are a flexible Bayesian nonparametric modelling approach that has been widely applied but poses computational challenges. To address the poor scaling of exact inference methods, approximation methods based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Rui Meng , Herbert Lee , Soper Braden , Priyadip Ray

In this paper, we consider a mean field game (MFG) model perturbed by small common noise. Our goal is to give an approximation of the Nash equilibrium strategy of this game using a solution from the original no common noise MFG whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-31 Saran Ahuja , Weiluo Ren , Tzu-Wei Yang

This paper presents a new approach to a robust Gaussian process (GP) regression. Most existing approaches replace an outlier-prone Gaussian likelihood with a non-Gaussian likelihood induced from a heavy tail distribution, such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter , Fritz J. Friedersdorf

We study the generalized conditional gradient (GCG) method for time-dependent second-order mean field games (MFG) with local coupling terms. While explicit convergence rates of the GCG method were previously established only for globally…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Haruka Nakamura , Norikazu Saito

Linear-quadratic Gaussian games provide a framework for modeling strategic interactions in multi-agent systems, where agents must estimate system states from noisy observations while also making decisions to optimize a quadratic cost.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Tianyu Qiu , Filippos Fotiadis , Xinjie Liu , Christian Ellis , Jesse Milzman , Wesley Suttle , Ufuk Topcu , David Fridovich-Keil

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a…

In this work, we study an equilibrium-based continuous asset pricing problem which seeks to form a price process endogenously by requiring it to balance the flow of sales-and-purchase orders in the exchange market, where a large number of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-28 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

Subject to reasonable conditions, in large population stochastic dynamics games, where the agents are coupled by the system's mean field (i.e. the state distribution of the generic agent) through their nonlinear dynamics and their nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Nevroz Sen , Peter E. Caines

In this paper, the problem of estimating the level set of a black-box function from noisy and expensive evaluation queries is considered. A new algorithm for this problem in the Bayesian framework with a Gaussian Process (GP) prior is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Tara Javidi

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and widely used probabilistic regression models, but their effectiveness in practice is often limited by the choice of kernel function. This kernel function is typically handcrafted from a small set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Sebastian Ament , Louis C. Tiao , David Eriksson , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

In this paper, we present a sequential decomposition algorithm equivalent of Master equation to compute GMFE of GMFG and graphon optimal Markovian policies (GOMPs) of graphon mean field teams (GMFTs). We consider a large population of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Deepanshu Vasal , Rajesh K Mishra , Sriram Vishwanath

Continuous-time trajectory representations are a powerful tool that can be used to address several issues in many practical simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) scenarios, like continuously collected measurements distorted by robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Jing Dong , Byron Boots , Frank Dellaert

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

We propose a novel sparse spectrum approximation of Gaussian process (GP) tailored for Bayesian optimization. Whilst the current sparse spectrum methods provide desired approximations for regression problems, it is observed that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ang Yang , Cheng Li , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

A Gaussian process (GP)-based methodology is proposed to emulate complex dynamical computer models (or simulators). The method relies on emulating the numerical flow map of the system over an initial (short) time step, where the flow map is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow
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