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Spatio-temporal hidden Markov models are extremely difficult to estimate because their latent joint distributions are available only in trivial cases. In the estimation phase, these latent distributions are usually substituted with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Daniele Tancini , Riccardo Rastelli , Francesco Bartolucci

We develop a systematic approach to the linear-noise approximation for stochastic reaction systems with distributed delays. Unlike most existing work our formalism does not rely on a master equation, instead it is based upon a dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-13 Tobias Brett , Tobias Galla

In this paper non-asymptotic moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time polynomial martingale by means of martingale differences as a rule in the terms of unconditional and unconditional relative moments and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

This paper considers a network of infinite-server queues with the special feature that, triggered by specific events, the network population vector may undergo a linear transformation (a `multiplicative transition'). For this model we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Dieter Fiems , Michel Mandjes , Brendan Patch

Computing smoothing distributions, the distributions of one or more states conditional on past, present, and future observations is a recurring problem when operating on general hidden Markov models. The aim of this paper is to provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Randal Douc , Aurélien Garivier , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

In this paper we study the distribution of the level at time $\theta$ of Markovian fluid queues and Markovian continuous time random walks, the maximum (and minimum) level over $[0,\theta]$, and their joint distributions. We approximate…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-18 Sarah Dendievel , Guy Latouche

Joint models for a wide class of response variables and longitudinal measurements consist on a mixed-effects model to fit longitudinal trajectories whose random effects enter as covariates in a generalized linear model for the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-03 Rolando De la Cruz , Cristian Meza , Ana Arribas-Gil , Raymond J. Carroll

This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Hiroki Masuda

The paper is devoted to the estimation of the rate of of exponential convergence of nonhomogeneous queues exhibiting different types of ergodicity. The main tool of our study is the method, which was proposed by the second author in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Boris L. Granovsky , Aleksandr I. Zeifman

Composition of low-dimensional distributions, whose foundations were laid in the papaer published in the Proceeding of UAI'97 (Jirousek 1997), appeared to be an alternative apparatus to describe multidimensional probabilistic models. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Radim Jirousek

In this paper, we consider nonparametric multidimensional finite mixture models and we are interested in the semiparametric estimation of the population weights. Here, the i.i.d. observations are assumed to have at least three components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau , Elodie Vernet

We extend our previous study of Markov chains on finite commutative rings (arXiv:1605.05089) to arbitrary finite rings with identity. At each step, we either add or multiply by a randomly chosen element of the ring, where the addition…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Arvind Ayyer , Pooja Singla

A study of time homogeneous, real valued Markov processes with a special property and a non-atomic initial distribution is provided. The new notion of a function of evolution of distribution which determines the dependency between one…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Tomasz Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wiśniewolski

This paper studies the queue length process in series Jackson networks with external input to the first station. We show that its Markov transition probabilities can be written as a finite sum of non-crossing probabilities, so that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-18 A. B. Dieker , J. Warren

Queueing networks are notoriously difficult to analyze sans both Markovian and stationarity assumptions. Much of the theoretical contribution towards performance analysis of time-inhomogeneous single class queueing networks has focused on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Harsha Honnappa , Rahul Jain

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

In the context of multilevel longitudinal data, where sample units are collected in clusters, an important aspect that should be accounted for is the unobserved heterogeneity between sample units and between clusters. For this aim we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-10 F. Bartolucci , M. Lupparelli

We study the asymptotic joint distribution of sample space--time covariance estimators of strictly stationary random fields. We do this without any marginal or joint distributional assumptions other than mild moment and mixing conditions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Bo Li , Marc G. Genton , Michael Sherman

We consider the problem of controlling a Markov decision process (MDP) with a large state space, so as to minimize average cost. Since it is intractable to compete with the optimal policy for large scale problems, we pursue the more modest…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Peter L. Bartlett , Alan Malek

We present a Markovian market model driven by a hidden Brownian efficient price. In particular, we extend the queue-reactive model, making its dynamics dependent on the efficient price. Our study focuses on two sub-models: a signal-driven…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-16 Emmanouil Sfendourakis