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Conformal prediction is a powerful distribution-free framework for constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees. Classical methods, such as split conformal prediction, provide marginal coverage, ensuring that the prediction set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Konstantina Bairaktari , Jiayun Wu , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Let $P$ be a Borel probability measure on $\mathbb R$ such that $P=\frac 1 4 P\circ S_1^{-1} +\frac 3 4 P\circ S_2^{-1}$, where $S_1$ and $S_2$ are two similarity mappings on $\mathbb R$ such that $S_1(x)=\frac 1 4 x $ and $S_2(x)=\frac 1 2…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-20 Lakshmi Roychowdhury

Many key quantities in statistics and probability theory such as the expectation, quantiles, expectiles and many risk measures are law-determined maps from a space of random variables to the reals. We call such a law-determined map, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Tobias Fissler , Ilya Molchanov

We investigate Keisler measures in arbitrary theories. Our initial focus is on Borel definability. We show that when working over countable parameter sets in countable theories, Borel definable measures are closed under Morley products and…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Gabriel Conant , Kyle Gannon , James Hanson

We develop a domain-theoretic framework for imprecise probability reasoning and inference on general topological spaces with a countably based continuous lattice of open sets. We address two distinct forms of uncertainty: partial or…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Abbas Edalat , Pietro Di Gianantonio , Amin Farjudian

In a recent article entitled "A simple explanation of the quantum violation of a fundamental inequality," Cabello proposes a condition on a class of probabilistic models that, he claims, gives the same bound on contextuality for the KCBS…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-25 Joe Henson

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra

Quantization for a probability distribution refers to the idea of estimating a given probability by a discrete probability supported by a finite set. In this article, we consider a probability distribution generated by an infinite system of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Dogan Comez , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

We investigate conditions for the existence of the limiting conditional distribution of a bivariate random vector when one component becomes large. We revisit the existing literature on the topic, and present some new sufficient conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-21 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

This paper introduces a framework for Chance-Constrained Optimization with Complex Variables, addressing complex linear programming for both individual and joint probabilistic constraints in the complex domain. We first analyze the 3CP…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Raneem Madani , Abdel Lisser , Zeno Toffano

We present conditions every measure of entanglement has to satisfy and construct a whole class of 'good' entanglement measures. The generalization of our class of entanglement measures to more than two particles is straightforward. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-01-23 V. Vedral , M. B. Plenio , M. A. Rippin , P. L. Knight

We propose a way of transforming the problem of conditional density estimation into a single nonparametric regression task via the introduction of auxiliary samples. This allows leveraging regression methods that work well in high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Alexander G. Reisach , Olivier Collier , Alex Luedtke , Antoine Chambaz

We use a novel form of quantum conditional probability to define new measures of quantum information in a dynamical context. We explore relationships between our new quantities and standard measures of quantum information, such as von…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-09 Jacob A. Barandes , David Kagan

A quantum probability measure is a function on a sigma-algebra of subsets of a (locally compact and Hausdorff) sample space that satisfies the formal requirements for a measure, but whose values are positive operators acting on a complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Douglas Farenick , Michael J. Kozdron

We discuss the so-called "simplifying assumption" of conditional copulas in a general framework. We introduce several tests of the latter assumption for non- and semiparametric copula models. Some related test procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

We introduce a new concept called as the mutual uncertainty between two observables in a given quantum state which enjoys similar features like the mutual information for two random variables. Further, we define the conditional uncertainty…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-10-03 Sk Sazim , Satyabrata Adhikari , Arun K. Pati , Pankaj Agrawal

Techniques for decision making with knowledge of linear constraints on condition probabilities are examined. These constraints arise naturally in many situations: upper and lower condition probabilities are known; an ordering among the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Michael Pittarelli

Probabilities of causation are fundamental to individual-level explanation and decision making, yet they are inherently counterfactual and not point-identifiable from data in general. Existing bounds either disregard available covariates,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yuxuan Xie , Ang Li

In the paper a new sufficient condition for the Aubin property to a class of parameterized variational systems is derived. In these systems the constraints depend both on the parameter as well as on the decision variable itself and they…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Helmut Gfrerer , Jiri V. Outrata

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea