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We are interested in the spread of an epidemic between two communities that have higher connectivity within than between them. We model the two communities as independent Erdos-Renyi random graphs, each with n vertices and edge probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 David Sivakoff

Given a discrete spatial structure $X$, we define continuous-time branching processes that model a population breeding and dying on $X$. These processes are usually called branching random walks. They are characterized by breeding rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

We consider the contact process on a random graph with fixed degree distribution given by a power law. We follow the work of Chatterjee and Durrett, who showed that for arbitrarily small infection parameter $\lambda$, the survival time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-10 Thomas Mountford , Daniel Valesin , Qiang Yao

We study the contact process on the complete graph on $n$ vertices where the rate at which the infection travels along the edge connecting vertices $i$ and $j$ is equal to $ \lambda w_i w_j / n$ for some $\lambda >0$, where $w_i$ are i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Jonathon Peterson

Motivated by questions regarding long range percolation, we investigate a non-Markovian analogue of the Harris contact process in $\mathbb{Z}^d$: an individual is attached to each site $x \in \mathbb{Z}^d$, and it can be infected or…

In this paper we describe the subcritical contact process on $\Z^d$ for large times, starting with all sites infected. The configuration is described in terms of the macroscopic locations of infected regions in space and the relative…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Aurelia Deshayes , Leonardo Rolla

We study the contact process on the long-range percolation cluster on $\mathbb{Z}$ where each edge $\langle i,j \rangle$ is open with probability $|i-j|^{-s}$ for $s> 2$. Using a renormalization procedure we apply Peierls-type argument to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Pablo A. Gomes , Marcelo R. Hilário , Bernardo N. B. de Lima , Thomas Mountford

Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Belhadji , N. Lanchier

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We investigate the case when the underlying structure evolves dynamically as a degree-dependent dynamical percolation model. Starting with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese , Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

We consider a symmetric, finite-range contact process with two types of infection; both have the same (supercritical) infection rate and heal at rate 1, but sites infected by Infection 1 are immune to Infection 2. We take the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-24 Enrique Andjel , Thomas Mountford , Leandro P. R. Pimentel , Daniel Valesin

Inspired by strict-monotonicity criteria for the time constant in first passage percolation, we investigate convex ordering of point processes in relation to the time constant in first contact percolation. In a nutshell, first contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We consider a non-attractive three state contact process on $\mathbb Z$ and prove that there exists a regime of survival as well as a regime of extinction. In more detail, the process can be regarded as an infection process in a dynamic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Marinus Gottschau , Markus Heydenreich , Kilian Matzke , Cristina Toninelli

In order to understand the cost of a potentially high infectiousness of symptomatic individuals or, on the contrary, the benefit of social distancing, quarantine, etc. in the course of an infectious disease, this paper considers a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Lamia Belhadji , Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer

We study the supercritical contact process on Galton-Watson trees and periodic trees. We prove that if the contact process survives weakly then it dominates a supercritical Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process. Hence the number of infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Xiangying Huang

Motivated by recent findings of enhanced species survival when fragmented habitats are reconnected through narrow strips of land [S. Pimm, and C. N. Jenkins, Am. Sci. {\bf 107}(3), 162 (2019).], we study the effect of a corridor connecting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-03 I. Ibagon , A. P. Furlan , Ronald Dickman

We study a new non-equilibrium dynamical model: a marked continuous contact model in $d$-dimensional space ($d \ge 3$). We prove that for certain values of rates (the critical regime) this system has the one-parameter family of invariant…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-02-18 Yuri Kondratiev , Sergey Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

We continue the study of renewal contact processes initiated in a companion paper, where we showed that if the tail of the interarrival distribution $\mu$ is heavier than $t^{-\alpha}$ for some $\alpha <1$ (plus auxiliary regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Luiz Renato Fontes , Thomas S. Mountford , Maria Eulalia Vares

We study the contact process with stirring on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. In this process, particles occupy vertices of $\mathbb{Z}^d$; each particle dies with rate 1 and generates a new particle at a randomly chosen neighboring vertex with rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Anna Levit , Daniel Valesin

We introduce a model of epidemics among moving particles on any locally finite graph. At any time, each vertex is empty, occupied by a healthy particle, or occupied by an infected particle. Infected particles recover at rate $1$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 M. Hilário , D. Ungaretti , D. Valesin , M. E. Vares

Properties of a contact process in continuum for a system of two type particles one type of which is independent are considered. We study dynamics of the first and second order correlation functions, their asymptotics and dependence on…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 D. O. Filonenko , D. L. Finkelshtein , Yu. G. Kondratiev