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Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

We develop a method for the evaluation of extreme event statistics associated with nonlinear dynamical systems, using a small number of samples. From an initial dataset of design points, we formulate a sequential strategy that provides the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We introduce the first probabilistic framework tailored for sequential random projection, an approach rooted in the challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty. The analysis is complicated by the sequential dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Yingru Li

This paper presents a quasi-sequential optimal design framework for toxicology experiments, specifically applied to sea urchin embryos. The authors propose a novel approach combining robust optimal design with adaptive, stage-based testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Elvis Han Cui , Michael Collins , Jessica Munson , Weng Kee Wong

Biomarker subpopulations have become increasingly important for drug development in targeted therapies. The use of biomarkers has the potential to facilitate more effective outcomes by guiding patient selection appropriately, thus enhancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-07 Ting-Yu Chen , Jing Zhao , Linda Sun , Keaven Anderson

The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the ideal study design for the evaluation of multistage treatment regimes, which comprise sequential decision rules that recommend treatments for a patient at each of a series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-15 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

In clinical trials involving both mortality and morbidity, an active treatment can influence the observed risk of the first non-fatal event either directly, through its effect on the underlying non-fatal event process, or indirectly,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Jiren Sun , Thomas D. Cook

Researchers faced with a sequence of candidate model specifications must often choose the best specification that does not violate a testable identification assumption. One option in this scenario is sequential specification tests:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Adam C. Sales

Uncovering the heterogeneous effects of particular policies or "treatments" is a key concern for researchers and policymakers. A common approach is to report average treatment effects across subgroups based on observable covariates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-02 Riccardo Di Francesco

Adaptive sample size re-estimation, early stopping, and trial re-design at interim analyses can reduce expected sample sizes in randomised trials. Cluster randomised trials, in which groups of participants are randomly allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Samuel I. Watson , James Martin

The proportional hazards model represents the most commonly assumed hazard structure when analysing time to event data using regression models. We study a general hazard structure which contains, as particular cases, proportional hazards,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-24 Francisco J. Rubio , Laurent Remontet , Nicholas P. Jewell , Aurélien Belot

In this paper we apply a two-stage sequential design to item calibration problems under a three-parameter logistic model assumption. The measurement errors of the estimates of the latent trait levels of examinees are considered in our…

Applications · Statistics 2013-05-23 Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

The conventional nonparametric tests in survival analysis, such as the log-rank test, assess the null hypothesis that the hazards are equal at all times. However, hazards are hard to interpret causally, and other null hypotheses are more…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland , Pål Christie Ryalen

Background. Designing trials to reduce treatment duration is important in several therapeutic areas, including TB and antibiotics. We recently proposed a new randomised trial design to overcome some of the limitations of standard two-arm…

Due to ethical and economical reasons, sequential single-arm trial designs are used for assessing the therapeutic efficacy of new treatments in phase II trials. Simon's 2-stage design and Lan-DeMets' $\alpha$-spending function method with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-31 Tasuku Inao , Isao Yokota

The proportional hazards (PH) and accelerated failure time (AFT) models are the most widely used hazard structures for analysing time-to-event data. When the goal is to identify variables associated with event times, variable selection is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Yulong Chen , Jim Griffin , Francisco Javier Rubio

We investigate a relatively underexplored class of hybrid neurosymbolic models integrating symbolic learning with neural reasoning to construct data generators meeting formal correctness criteria. In \textit{Symbolic Neural Generators}…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ashwin Srinivasan , A Baskar , Tirtharaj Dash , Michael Bain , Sanjay Kumar Dey , Mainak Banerjee

We consider the problem of constructing optimal designs for population pharmacokinetics which use random effect models. It is common practice in the design of experiments in such studies to assume uncorrelated errors for each subject. In…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-16 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Tim Holland-Letz

Accelerated life tests (ALTs) play a crucial role in reliability analyses, providing lifetime estimates of highly reliable products. Among ALTs, step-stress design increases the stress level at predefined times, while maintaining a constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

Choosing an optimal strategy for hierarchical group testing is an important problem for practitioners who are interested in disease screening with limited resources. For example, when screening for infectious diseases in large populations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-27 Yaakov Malinovsky , Gregory Haber , Paul S. Albert