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We show that typical behaviors of market participants at the high frequency scale generate leverage effect and rough volatility. To do so, we build a simple microscopic model for the price of an asset based on Hawkes processes. We encode in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 El Euch Omar , Fukasawa Masaaki , Rosenbaum Mathieu

In this paper, we develop econometric tools to analyze the integrated volatility of the efficient price and the dynamic properties of microstructure noise in high-frequency data under general dependent noise. We first develop consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Z. Merrick Li , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel H. Vellekoop

Simulation of rough volatility models involves discretization of stochastic integrals where the integrand is a function of a (correlated) fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (0,1/2)$. We obtain results on the rate of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-07 Paul Gassiat

Based on a criterium of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-28 R. Vilela Mendes , Maria João Oliveira

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We introduce the multivariate Log S-fBM model (mLog S-fBM), extending the univariate framework proposed by Wu \textit{et al.} to the multidimensional setting. We define the multidimensional Stationary fractional Brownian motion (mS-fBM),…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Othmane Zarhali , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Volatility estimation based on high-frequency data is key to accurately measure and control the risk of financial assets. A L\'{e}vy process with infinite jump activity and microstructure noise is considered one of the simplest, yet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Qi Wang , José E. Figueroa-López , Todd Kuffner

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

Within the context of rough path analysis via fractional calculus, we show how variability can be used to prove the existence of integrals with respect to H\"older continuous multiplicative functionals in the case of Lipschitz coefficients…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Michael Hinz , Jonas M. Tölle , Lauri Viitasaari

We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

In this paper, we analyze the robustness and sensitivity of various continuous-time rough Volterra stochastic volatility models in relation to the process of market calibration. Model robustness is examined from two perspectives: the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-05 Jan Matas , Jan Pospíšil

Sparked by Al\`os, Le\'on, and Vives (2007); Fukasawa (2011, 2017); Gatheral, Jaisson, and Rosenbaum (2018), so-called rough stochastic volatility models such as the rough Bergomi model by Bayer, Friz, and Gatheral (2016) constitute the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Christian Bayer , Benjamin Stemper

Inspired by the activity signature introduced by Todorov and Tauchen (2010), which was used to measure the activity of a semimartingale, this paper introduces the roughness signature function. The paper illustrates how it can be used to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-08 Peter Christensen

Rough volatility models are very appealing because of their remarkable fit of both historical and implied volatilities. However, due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the volatility process, there is no simple way to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Omar El Euch

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

This paper deals with an extension of the so-called Black-Scholes model in which the volatility is modeled by a linear combination of the components of the solution of a differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Nicolas Marie

In this chapter we first briefly review the existing approaches to hedging in rough volatility models. Next, we present a simple but general result which shows that in a one-factor rough stochastic volatility model, any option may be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Masaaki Fukasawa , Blanka Horvath , Peter Tankov

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

In this paper, we are interested in testing if the volatility process is constant or not during a given time span by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps and microstructure noise. Based on estimators of integrated volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-16 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Chuanhai Zhang