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Accident prediction and timely preventive actions improve road safety by reducing the risk of injury to road users and minimizing property damage. Hence, they are critical components of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Vipooshan Vipulananthan , Kumudu Mohottala , Kavindu Chinthana , Nimsara Paramulla , Charith D Chitraranjan

Accurate prediction of road accidents remains challenging due to intertwined spatial, temporal, and contextual factors in urban traffic. We propose MSGAT-GRU, a multi-scale graph attention and recurrent model that jointly captures localized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Thrinadh Pinjala , Aswin Ram Kumar Gannina , Debasis Dwibedy

Improving road safety is hugely important with the number of deaths on the world's roads remaining unacceptably high; an estimated 1.35 million people die each year (WHO, 2020). Current practice for treating collision hotspots is almost…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 Nicola Hewett , Andrew Golightly , Lee Fawcett , Neil Thorpe

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Nikolas Geroliminis

Traffic prediction has gradually attracted the attention of researchers because of the increase in traffic big data. Therefore, how to mine the complex spatio-temporal correlations in traffic data to predict traffic conditions more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Yuchen Fang , Yanjun Qin , Haiyong Luo , Fang Zhao , Chenxing Wang

This study downscales the population and gross domestic product (GDP) scenarios given under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) into 0.5-degree grids. Our downscale approach has the following features: (i) it explicitly considers spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Daisuke Murakami , Yoshiki Yamagata

Traffic flow prediction plays a critical role in the intelligent transportation system, and it is also a challenging task because of the underlying complex Spatio-temporal patterns and heterogeneities evolving across time. However, most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Jiyao Wang , Zehua Peng , Yijia Zhang , Dengbo He , Lei Chen

We consider analyzing traffic accident patterns using both road network data and satellite images aligned to road graph nodes. Previous work for predicting accident occurrences relies primarily on road network structural features while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ziniu Zhang , Minxuan Duan , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Hongyang R. Zhang

Traffic accidents represent a critical public health challenge, claiming over 1.35 million lives annually worldwide. Traditional accident prediction models treat road segments independently, failing to capture complex spatial relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Ziyuan Gao

Inspired by spatiotemporal observations from satellites of the trajectories of objects drifting near the surface of the ocean in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's `Global Drifter Program', this paper develops data-driven…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-19 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

Modeling of headway/spacing between two consecutive vehicles has many applications in traffic flow theory and transport practice. Most known approaches only study the vehicles running on freeways. In this paper, we propose a model to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-05-08 Xuexiang Jin , Yuelong Su , Yi Zhang , Li Li

We study the family of network models derived by requiring the expected properties of a graph ensemble to match a given set of measurements of a real-world network, while maximizing the entropy of the ensemble. Models of this type play the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Juyong Park , M. E. J. Newman

This paper describes a novel approach to perform vehicle trajectory predictions employing graphic representations. The vehicles are represented using Gaussian distributions into a Bird Eye View. Then the U-net model is used to perform…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-27 R. Izquierdo , A. Quintanar , I. Parra , D. Fernandez-Llorca , M. A. Sotelo

Recent studies have shifted their focus towards formulating traffic forecasting as a spatio-temporal graph modeling problem. Typically, they constructed a static spatial graph at each time step and then connected each node with itself…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Chuanpan Zheng , Xiaoliang Fan , Shirui Pan , Haibing Jin , Zhaopeng Peng , Zonghan Wu , Cheng Wang , Philip S. Yu

Current statistics literature on statistical inference of random fields typically assumes that the fields are stationary or focuses on models of non-stationary Gaussian fields with parametric/semiparametric covariance families, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yunyi Zhang , Zhou Zhou

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

Accurate annual average daily traffic (AADT) data are vital for transport planning and infrastructure management. However, automatic traffic detectors across national road networks often provide incomplete coverage, leading to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-22 Ying Yao , Daniel J. Graham

This paper studies optimization on networks modeled as metric graphs. Motivated by applications where the objective function is expensive to evaluate or only available as a black box, we develop Bayesian optimization algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Wenwen Li , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

The algorithms used for the optimal management of an ambulance fleet require an accurate description of the spatio-temporal evolution of the emergency events. In the last years, several authors have proposed sophisticated statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-01 Andrea Gilardi , Riccardo Borgoni , Jorge Mateu

The simulation of vehicular wireless channels using geometry-based radio channel models is computationally intensive when the number of scatterers is significantly high. In this paper, we propose a new geometry-based stochastic channel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-03 Rakesh R. T. , Emanuele Viterbo