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Related papers: Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping…

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Abrupt shifts in ecosystems, brains, markets, and climate are often diagnosed as signs of approaching a tipping point, i.e. a critical bifurcation where stability is lost. Here we reveal a broader and more deceptive mechanism:…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Virgile Troude , Sandro Claudio Lera , Ke Wu , Didier Sornette

Dryland vegetation ecosystems are known to be susceptible to critical transitions between alternative stable states when subjected to external forcing. Such transitions are often discussed through the framework of bifurcation theory, but…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-16 Daniel Dylewsky , Sonia Kéfi , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Physical computing has the potential to enable widespread embodied intelligence by leveraging the intrinsic dynamics of complex systems for efficient sensing, processing, and interaction. While individual devices provide basic data…

The realization that complex systems such as ecological communities can collapse or shift regimes suddenly and without rapid external forcing poses a serious challenge to our understanding and management of the natural world. The potential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Carl Boettiger , Noam Ross , Alan Hastings

We study a two-dimensional low-dissipation dynamical system with a control parameter that is swept linearly in time across a transcritical bifurcation. We investigate the relaxation time of a perturbation applied to a variable of the system…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-09-30 M. Marconi , C. Metayer , A. Acquaviva , J. M. Boyer , A. Gomel , T. Quiniou , C. Masoller , M. Giudici , J. R. Tredicce

Predicting critical transitions in complex systems, such as epileptic seizures in the brain, represents a major challenge in scientific research. The high-dimensional characteristics and hidden critical signals further complicate…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-03 Xiaoai Xu , Yixuan Zhou , Xiang Zhou , Jingqiao Duan , Ting Gao

We consider the relation for the stochastic equilibrium states between the reduced system on a random slow manifold and the original system. This provides a theoretical basis for the reduction about sophisti- cated detailed models by the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-05-15 Ziying He , Rui Cai , Jinqiao Duan , Xianming Liu

It is well known that chaotic dynamic systems (such as three-body system, turbulent flow and so on) have the sensitive dependance on initial conditions (SDIC). Unfortunately, numerical noises (such as truncation error and round-off error)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-30 Xiaoming Li , Shijun Liao

The creation and subsequent evolution of marginally-unstable modes have been observed in a wide range of fusion devices. This behaviour has been successfully explained, for a single frequency shifting mode, in terms of phase-space…

Fast-slow dynamical systems have subsystems that evolve on vastly different timescales, and bifurcations in such systems can arise due to changes in any or all subsystems. We classify bifurcations of the critical set (the equilibria of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Karl Nyman , Peter Ashwin , Peter Ditlevsen

Learning with noisy labels has become imperative in the Big Data era, which saves expensive human labors on accurate annotations. Previous noise-transition-based methods have achieved theoretically-grounded performance under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Jiangchao Yao , Bo Han , Zhihan Zhou , Ya Zhang , Ivor W. Tsang

A two dimensional flow model is introduced with deterministic behavior consisting of bursts which become successively larger, with longer interburst time intervals between them. The system is symmetric in one variable x and there are bursts…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. M. Finn , E. R. Tracy , W. E. Cooke , A. S. Richardson

Using in a simple way the theory of non linear dynamical systems, we show that increasing climatic instabilities may be a qualitative warning sign for the occurrence of a nearby bifurcation, yielding a discontinuous and sudden climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-09-19 Francois Louchet

This paper provides a small noise approximation for local random center manifolds of a class of stochastic dynamical systems in Euclidean space. An example is presented to illustrate the method.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Jian Ren , Zhongkai Guo , Xianming Liu , Xiangjun Wang

Bifurcations mark qualitative changes of long-term behavior in dynamical systems and can often signal sudden ("hard") transitions or catastrophic events (divergences). Accurately locating them is critical not just for deeper understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yorgos M. Psarellis , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

We study the dynamics of fronts when both inertial effects and external fluctuations are taken into account. Stochastic fluctuations are introduced as multiplicative noise arising from a control parameter of the system. Contrary to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jose M. Sancho , Angel Sanchez

The slow drift (with speed $\eps$) of a parameter through a pitchfork bifurcation point, known as the dynamic pitchfork bifurcation, is characterized by a significant delay of the transition from the unstable to the stable state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

Problems with artificial neural networks originate from their deterministic nature and inevitable prior learnings, resulting in inadequate adaptability against unpredictable, abrupt environmental change. Here we show that a stochastically…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Naoki Asakawa , Yasushi Hotta , Teruo Kanki , Hitoshi Tabata , Tomoji Kawai

We study a discrete non-autonomous system whose autonomous counterpart (with the frozen bifurcation parameter) admits a saddle-node bifurcation, and in which the bifurcation parameter slowly changes in time and is characterized by a sweep…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Jay Chu , Jun-Jie Lin , Je-Chiang Tsai

Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through systems has been less well studied and is an important one. A…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Abhishek Mallela , Alan Hastings
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