Weather instabilities as a warning sign for a nearby climatic tipping point?
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
2016-09-19 v1 Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
Abstract
Using in a simple way the theory of non linear dynamical systems, we show that increasing climatic instabilities may be a qualitative warning sign for the occurrence of a nearby bifurcation, yielding a discontinuous and sudden climate tipping towards an unknown and unpredictable state. The possibility of an accurate prediction of the occurrence time of such a transition is also discussed in terms of the approach of a critical point.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1609.05098,
title = {Weather instabilities as a warning sign for a nearby climatic tipping point?},
author = {Francois Louchet},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1609.05098},
year = {2016}
}
Comments
9 pages, 1 figure. Original paper