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An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin

This paper considers the problem of estimating the variance of a sum of a triangular array of random vectors with heterogeneous means. When random vectors exhibit two-way cluster dependence or weak dependence, standard variance estimators…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Luther Yap

This paper deals with robust marginal estimation under a general regression model when missing data occur in the response and also in some of covariates. The target is a marginal location parameter which is given through an $M-$functional.…

We explore a novel methodology for constructing confidence regions for parameters of linear models, using predictions from any arbitrary predictor. Our framework requires minimal assumptions on the noise and can be extended to functions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

In this work, the concept of mutually unbiased frames is introduced as the most general notion of unbiasedness for sets composed by linearly independent and normalized vectors. It encompasses the already existing notions of unbiasedness for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 F. Caro Perez , V. Gonzalez Avella , D. Goyeneche

Incomplete covariate vectors are known to be problematic for estimation and inferences on model parameters, but their impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop an imputation-free method that builds on a random…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Matthew J. Heiner , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana

In this paper, we propose and study construction of confidence bands for shape-constrained regression functions when the predictor is multivariate. In particular, we consider the continuous multidimensional white noise model given by $d…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Ashley , Datta , Somabha Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

Statistical inference in high-dimensional settings is challenging when standard unregularized methods are employed. In this work, we focus on the case of multiple correlated proportions for which we develop a Bayesian inference framework.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Max Westphal

We consider robust location-scale estimators under contamination. We show that commonly used robust estimators such as the median and the Huber estimator are inconsistent under asymmetric contamination, while the Tukey estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Jens Klooster , Bent Nielsen

We propose a robust and efficient method for multiview triangulation and uncertainty estimation. Our contribution is threefold: First, we propose an outlier rejection scheme using two-view RANSAC with the midpoint method. By prescreening…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Seong Hun Lee , Javier Civera

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the median of a response $Y \in \mathbb{R}$ conditional on features $X \in \mathbb{R}^d$ in a situation where we are not willing to make any assumption whatsoever on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Dhruv Medarametla , Emmanuel J. Candès

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

Consider the observation of n iid realizations of an experiment with d>1 possible outcomes, which corresponds to a single observation of a multinomial distribution M(n,p) where p is an unknown discrete distribution on {1,...,d}. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-15 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

Frequentist model averaging has been proposed as a method for incorporating "model uncertainty" into confidence interval construction. Such proposals have been of particular interest in the environmental and ecological statistics…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-18 Paul Kabaila

We study generalized bootstrap confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependency structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric and bounded distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-02 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

The asymptotic results pertaining to the distribution of the log likelihood ratio allow for the creation of a confidence region, which is a general extension of the confidence interval. Two and three dimensional regions can be displayed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-08 Adam Jaeger

Suppose that one observes pairs $(x_1,Y_1)$, $(x_2,Y_2)$, ..., $(x_n,Y_n)$, where $x_1\le x_2\le ... \le x_n$ are fixed numbers, and $Y_1,Y_2,...,Y_n$ are independent random variables with unknown distributions. The only assumption is that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-28 Lutz Duembgen

We propose confidence regions for the parameters of incomplete models with exact coverage of the true parameter in finite samples. Our confidence region inverts a test, which generalizes Monte Carlo tests to incomplete models. The test…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lixiong Li , Marc Henry

The estimation of the extremal dependence structure is spoiled by the impact of the bias, which increases with the number of observations used for the estimation. Already known in the univariate setting, the bias correction procedure is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Anne-Laure Fougères , Laurens de Haan , Cécile Mercadier