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Confidence intervals are a popular way to visualize and analyze data distributions. Unlike p-values, they can convey information both about statistical significance as well as effect size. However, very little work exists on applying…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Jussi Korpela , Emilia Oikarinen , Kai Puolamäki , Antti Ukkonen

We study the convex-hull problem in a probabilistic setting, motivated by the need to handle data uncertainty inherent in many applications, including sensor databases, location-based services and computer vision. In our framework, the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Pankaj K. Agarwal , Sariel Har-Peled , Subhash Suri , Hakan Yildiz , Wuzhou Zhang

Under the null hypothesis, the marginal probability of the positive response is symmetric at any specified correlated coefficient, and the discordance probability is also symmetric to the positive response probability. The marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-11 Guanghui Huang

In the setting of high-dimensional linear regression models, we propose two frameworks for constructing pointwise and group confidence sets for penalized estimators which incorporate prior knowledge about the organization of the non-zero…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Benjamin Stucky , Sara van de Geer

The paper presents a multiplicative bias reduction estimator for nonparametric regression. The approach consists to apply a multiplicative bias correction to an oversmooth pilot estimator. In Burr et al. [2010], this method has been tested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-02 Nicolas Hengartner , Eric Matzner-Løber , Laurent Rouvière , Thomas Burr

We construct honest confidence regions for a Hilbert space-valued parameter in various statistical models. The confidence sets can be centered at arbitrary adaptive estimators, and have diameter which adapts optimally to a given selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James Robins , Aad van der Vaart

In this article, we introduce the concept of model confidence bounds (MCB) for variable selection in the context of nested models. Similarly to the endpoints in the familiar confidence interval for parameter estimation, the MCB identifies…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-27 Yang Li , Yuetian Luo , Davide Ferrari , Xiaonan Hu , Yichen Qin

Consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta=(beta_1,..., beta_p) and independent normal errors. Suppose the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta, where a is specified. Define the s-dimensional parameter vector tau…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Davide Farchione

Several uncertainty estimation methods have been recently proposed for machine translation evaluation. While these methods can provide a useful indication of when not to trust model predictions, we show in this paper that the majority of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Chrysoula Zerva , André F. T. Martins

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Consider a nonlinear regression model : y_{i}=g(x_{i},{\theta})+e_{i}, i=1,...,n, where the x_{i} are random predictors x_{i} and {\theta} is the unknown parameter vector ranging in a set {\Theta}\subsetR^{p}. All known results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-03 Fasano María Victoria , Ricardo A. Maronna

There has been a surge of interest in developing robust estimators for models with heavy-tailed and bounded variance data in statistics and machine learning, while few works impose unbounded variance. This paper proposes two type of robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Lihu Xu , Fang Yao , Qiuran Yao , Huiming Zhang

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

In this paper, we study frequentist coverage errors of Bayesian credible sets for an approximately linear regression model with (moderately) high dimensional regressors, where the dimension of the regressors may increase with but is smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Keisuke Yano , Kengo Kato

In epidemiology, some have argued that multiple comparison corrections are not necessary as there is rarely interest in the universal null hypothesis. From a parameter estimation perspective, epidemiologists may still be interested in…

The convex hull of several i.i.d. beta distributed random vectors in $\mathbb R^d$ is called the random beta polytope. Recently, the expected values of their intrinsic volumes, number of faces, normal and tangent angles and other quantities…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Ekaterina Simarova

In this paper we establish asymptotic simultaneous confidence bands for copulas based on the local linear kernel estimator proposed by Chen and Huang [1]. For this, we prove under smoothness conditions on the copula function, a uniform in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-02 Diam Ba , Cheikh Tidiane Seck , Gane Samb Lo

Necessary and sufficient conditions for the square-integrability of recently proposed unbiased estimators are established. A geometric characterization of a distribution that optimizes the performance of these estimators is given. An…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Nabil Kahale

In this paper, we use the empirical likelihood method to construct the confidence regions for the difference between the parameters of a two-phases nonlinear model with random design. We show that the empirical likelihood ratio has an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Zahraa Salloum

We consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta =(beta_1, ..., beta_p) and independent and identically N(0, sigma^2)distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

Computation · Statistics 2009-04-17 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri