English
Related papers

Related papers: An age-structured SVEAIR epidemiological model

200 papers

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

For many applications of agent-based models (ABMs), an agent's age influences important decisions (e.g. their contribution to/withdrawal from pension funds, their level of risk aversion in decision-making, etc.) and outcomes in their life…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Kathyrn R. Fair , Omar A. Guerrero

In this paper we consider a stochastic SEIQR (susceptible-exposed-infected-quarantined-recovered) epidemic model with a generalized incidence function. Using the Lyapunov method, we establish the existence and uniqueness of a global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Brahim Boukanjime , Mohamed Maama

In this chapter, we consider a reaction-diffusion SVIR infection model with dis-tributed delay and nonlinear incidence rate. The wellposedness of the proposed model is proved. By means of Lyapunov functionals, we show that the disease-free…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Mostafa Tahiri , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

Age-dependent dynamics is an important characteristic of many infectious diseases. Age-group epidemic models describe the infection dynamics in different age-groups by allowing to set distinct parameter values for each. However, such models…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Rami Yaari , Itai Dattner , Amit Huppert

Understanding the dynamics of the spread of diseases within populations is critical for effective public health interventions. We extend the classical SIR model by incorporating additional complexities such as the introduction of a cure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-30 Daniel Perkins , Davis Hunter , Drake Brown , Trevor Garrity , Wyatt Pochman

We introduce an epidemic model with varying infectivity and general exposed and infectious periods, where the infectivity of each individual is a random function of the elapsed time since infection, those function being i.i.d. for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Raphael Forien , Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

This work is concerned with epidemiological models defined on networks, which highlight the prominent role of the social contact network of a given population in the spread of infectious diseases. In particular, we address the modelling and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Giovanni Naldi , Giuseppe Patane'

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, the SIRD model, to allow for time-varying parameters for real-time measurement and prediction of the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

Compartmental models are used in epidemiology to capture the evolution of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 in a population by assigning members of it to compartments with labels such as susceptible, infected, and recovered. In a…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Tim Leys , Guillermo A. Perez

Age at infection is often an important factor in epidemic dynamics. In this paper a disease transmission model of SIS type with age dependent infection on a heterogeneous network is discussed. The model allows the infectious rate and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Shanshan Chen , Michael Small , Yizhou Tao , Xinchu Fu

Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

This paper generalizes a previously published differential equation that describes the relation between the age-specific incidence, remission, and mortality of a disease with its prevalence. The underlying model is a simple compartment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-07 Ralph Brinks

The ever-changing world of disease study heavily relies on mathematical models. They are key in finding and controlling infectious diseases. We aim to explore these mathematical tools used for studying disease spread in biology. The SEIR…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Pabel Shahrear , Md. Shahedul Islam , Md. Abu Bakkar , Anika Bushra , Ismail Hossain

We numerically address the stability analysis of linear age-structured population models with nonlocal diffusion, which arise naturally in describing dynamics of infectious diseases. Compared to Laplace diffusion, models with nonlocal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Dimitri Breda , Simone De Reggi , Rossana Vermiglio

A stochastic epidemic model is defined in which each individual belongs to a household, a secondary grouping (typically school or workplace) and also the community as a whole. Moreover, infectious contacts take place in these three settings…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-17 Tom Britton , Theodore Kypraios , Philip O'Neill

This study investigates the utilization of various mathematical models for comprehending and managing outbreaks of infectious diseases, with a specific focus on how different distributions of incubation times influence predictions regarding…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-03-08 Eric Rozan , Marcelo N Kuperman , Sebastian Bouzat

In this paper, we consider the infection-age-dependent Kermack--McKendrick model in which host individuals are distributed in a continuous state space. To provide a mathematical foundation for the heterogeneous model, we develop a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-21 Hisashi Inaba

We investigate the use of transfer entropy (TE) as a proxy to detect the contact patterns of the population in epidemic processes. We first apply the measure to a classical age-stratified SIR model and observe that the recovered patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-02 Tiago Martinelli , Alberto Aleta , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza