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In this paper, I try to tame "Basu's elephants" (data with extreme selection on observables). I propose new practical large-sample and finite-sample methods for estimating and inferring heterogeneous causal effects (under unconfoundedness)…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-20 Ganesh Karapakula

Crossover designs are an extremely useful tool to investigators, whilst group sequential methods have proven highly proficient at improving the efficiency of parallel group trials. Yet, group sequential methods and crossover designs have…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Toshi A. Furukawa

We investigate asymptotically optimal multiple testing procedures for streams of sequential data in the context of prior information on the number of false null hypotheses ("signals"). We show that the "gap" and "gap-intersection"…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Xinrui He , Jay Bartroff

Quantifying uncertainty in detected changepoints is an important problem. However it is challenging as the naive approach would use the data twice, first to detect the changes, and then to test them. This will bias the test, and can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Rachel Carrington , Paul Fearnhead

Often in sequential trials additional data become available after a stopping boundary has been reached. A method of incorporating such information from overrunning is developed, based on the ``adding weighted Zs'' method of combining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 W. J. Hall , Keyue Ding

This paper proposes a novel testing procedure for selecting a sparse set of covariates that explains a large dimensional panel. Our selection method provides correct false detection control while having higher power than existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-09 Markus Pelger , Jiacheng Zou

Group sequential designs drive innovation in clinical, industrial, and corporate settings. Early stopping for failure in sequential designs conserves experimental resources, whereas early stopping for success accelerates access to improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi , Marina B. Klein

False discovery rate (FDR) control in structured hypotheses testing is an important topic in simultaneous inference. Most existing methods that aim to utilize group structure among hypotheses either employ the groupwise mixture model or…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-16 Xiongzhi Chen , Sanat K. Sarkar

We propose a method for testing whether hierarchically ordered groups of potentially correlated variables are significant for explaining a response in a high-dimensional linear model. In presence of highly correlated variables, as is very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Jacopo Mandozzi , Peter Bühlmann

Existing sequential generalized estimating equation methodology for longitudinal and group-correlated data focuses on narrow hypotheses concerning treatment efficacy and often makes modeling assumptions that impede the desirable robustness…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Nathan T. Provost , Abdus S. Wahed

Verifying that a statistically significant result is scientifically meaningful is not only good scientific practice, it is a natural way to control the Type I error rate. Here we introduce a novel extension of the p-value - a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Jeffrey D. Blume , Lucy DAgostino McGowan , William D. Dupont , Robert A. Greevy

Across many risk-sensitive areas, it is critical to continuously audit machine learning systems as we receive more data to quickly determine if they are performing as designed. This auditing task can be modeled as a sequential hypothesis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Beepul Bharti , Ambar Pal , Jeremias Sulam

The maximum type-I and type-II error exponents associated with the newly introduced almost-fixed-length hypothesis testing is characterized. In this class of tests, the decision-maker declares the true hypothesis almost always after…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Anusha Lalitha , Tara Javidi

We consider finite-sample inference for a single regression coefficient in the fixed-design linear model $Y = Z\beta + bX + \varepsilon$, where $\varepsilon\in\mathbb{R}^n$ may exhibit complex dependence or heterogeneity. We develop a group…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Zonghan Li , Hongyi Zhou , Zhiheng Zhang

Much effort has been done to control the "false discovery rate" (FDR) when $m$ hypotheses are tested simultaneously. The FDR is the expectation of the "false discovery proportion" $\text{FDP}=V/R$ given by the ratio of the number of false…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Marc Ditzhaus , Arnold Janssen

In this paper, we have attempted to study the behaviour of the family wise error rate (FWER) for Bonferroni's procedure and false discovery rate (FDR) of the Benjamini-Hodgeberg procedure for simultaneous testing problem with equicorrelated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-20 Nabaneet Das , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Estimating causal effects from observational data is not always possible due to confounding. Identifying a set of appropriate covariates (adjustment set) and adjusting for their influence can remove confounding bias; however, such a set is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Sofia Triantafillou , Gregory Cooper

In randomized clinical trials, adjusting for baseline covariates can improve credibility and efficiency for demonstrating and quantifying treatment effects. This article studies the augmented inverse propensity weighted (AIPW) estimator,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Marlena S. Bannick , Jun Shao , Jingyi Liu , Yu Du , Yanyao Yi , Ting Ye

Multiple tests are designed to test a whole collection of null hypotheses simultaneously. Their quality is often judged by the false discovery rate (FDR), i.e. the expectation of the quotient of the number of false rejections divided by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Julia Benditkis , Philipp Heesen , Arnold Janssen
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