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Despite the fact that cryptocurrencies themselves have experienced an astonishing rate of adoption over the last decade, cryptocurrency fraud detection is a heavily under-researched problem area. Of all fraudulent activity regarding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Viswanath Chadalapaka , Kyle Chang , Gireesh Mahajan , Anuj Vasil

Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

In modern capital market the price of a stock is often considered to be highly volatile and unpredictable because of various social, financial, political and other dynamic factors. With calculated and thoughtful investment, stock market can…

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin

Quantum computers are not yet up to the task of providing computational advantages for practical stochastic diffusion models commonly used by financial analysts. In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic processes that are both…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-03 Eric Ghysels , Jack Morgan , Hamed Mohammadbagherpoor

Forecasting stock and cryptocurrency prices is challenging due to high volatility and non-stationarity, influenced by factors like economic changes and market sentiment. Previous research shows that Echo State Networks (ESNs) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Mansi Sharma , Enrico Sartor , Marc Cavazza , Helmut Prendinger

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Limited access to computing resources and training data poses significant challenges for individuals and groups aiming to train and utilize predictive machine learning models. Although numerous publicly available machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Matthew T. Pisano , Connor J. Patterson , Oshani Seneviratne

Bayesian analysis of state-space models includes computing the posterior distribution of the system's parameters as well as filtering, smoothing, and predicting the system's latent states. When the latent states wander around $\mathbb{R}^n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho

Cryptocurrency refers to a type of digital asset that uses distributed ledger, or blockchain, technology to enable a secure transaction. Although the technology is widely misunderstood, many central banks are considering launching their own…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-30 Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Campbell R. Harvey , Raphael C. G. Reule

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

Deep learning applies hierarchical layers of hidden variables to construct nonlinear high dimensional predictors. Our goal is to develop and train deep learning architectures for spatio-temporal modeling. Training a deep architecture is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-08 Matthew F. Dixon , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim O. Sokolov

The paper studies intraday price movement of stocks that is considered as an image classification problem. Using a CNN-based model we make a compelling case for the high-level relationship between the first hour of trading and the close.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Matej Steinbacher

Identifying the structural dependence between the cryptocurrencies and predicting market trend are fundamental for effective portfolio management in cryptocurrency trading. In this paper, we present a unified Bayesian framework based on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-03 Anoop C , Neeraj Negi , Anup Aprem

The improvement of air-quality in urban areas is one of the main concerns of public government bodies. This concern emerges from the evidence between the air quality and the public health. Major efforts from government bodies in this area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Alejandro Luque-Cerpa , Miguel A. Gutiérrez-Naranjo , Miguel Cárdenas-Montes

This paper leverages machine learning algorithms to forecast and analyze financial time series. The process begins with a denoising autoencoder to filter out random noise fluctuations from the main contract price data. Then, one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuohuan Hu , Richard Yu , Zizhou Zhang , Haoran Zheng , Qianying Liu , Yining Zhou

We propose a deep neural network framework for computing prices and deltas of American options in high dimensions. The architecture of the framework is a sequence of neural networks, where each network learns the difference of the price…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-30 Yangang Chen , Justin W. L. Wan

Quantum money represents an innovative approach to currency by encoding economic value within the quantum states of physical systems, utilizing the principles of quantum mechanics to enhance security, integrity, and transferability. This…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-15 Artur Czerwinski

In this paper, we compare various approaches to stock price prediction using neural networks. We analyze the performance fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures in predicting the next day value of S&P 500 index based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

Pricing a multi-asset derivative is an important problem in financial engineering, both theoretically and practically. Although it is suitable to numerically solve partial differential equations to calculate the prices of certain types of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-05 Kenji Kubo , Koichi Miyamoto , Kosuke Mitarai , Keisuke Fujii