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This paper shows that temporal CNNs accurately predict bitcoin spot price movements from limit order book data. On a 2 second prediction time horizon we achieve 71\% walk-forward accuracy on the popular cryptocurrency exchange coinbase. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Rakshit Jha , Mattijs De Paepe , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Stock market price prediction is a significant interdisciplinary research domain that depends at the intersection of finance, statistics, and economics. Forecasting Accurately predicting stock prices has always been a focal point for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Navin Chhibber , Sunil Khemka , Navneet Kumar Tyagi , Rohit Tewari , Bireswar Banerjee , Piyush Ranjan

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial instruments with more and more new retail investors joining the scene with each passing day. Bitcoin has always proved to determine in which way the rest of the cryptocurrency market is headed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Rahul Arulkumaran , Suyash Kumar , Shikha Tomar , Manideep Gongalla , Harshitha

This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model for forecasting the price of Bitcoin, as the digital currency is known to exhibit frequent fluctuations. The models used are the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and the Long Short-Term…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Emmanuel Boadi

The role of cryptocurrencies within the financial systems has been expanding rapidly in recent years among investors and institutions. It is therefore crucial to investigate the phenomena and develop statistical methods able to capture…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

In this paper we introduce a deep learning method for pricing and hedging American-style options. It first computes a candidate optimal stopping policy. From there it derives a lower bound for the price. Then it calculates an upper bound, a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Sebastian Becker , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen

Designing robust and accurate predictive models for stock price prediction has been an active area of research for a long time. While on one side, the supporters of the efficient market hypothesis claim that it is impossible to forecast…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

The $\textit{data market design}$ problem is a problem in economic theory to find a set of signaling schemes (statistical experiments) to maximize expected revenue to the information seller, where each experiment reveals some of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Yanchen Jiang , David C. Parkes

The present study aims to establish the model of the cryptocurrency price trend based on financial theory using the LSTM model with multiple combinations between the window length and the predicting horizons, the random walk model is also…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-11 Yifan Yao , Lina Wang

In this work, we propose to apply a new model fusion and learning paradigm, known as Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), to the field of Bitcoin price prediction. Price prediction of financial product has always been a big topic in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Yuanhong Wu , Wei Ye , Jingyan Xu , D. Frank Hsu

Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-01 Rosdyana Mangir Irawan Kusuma , Trang-Thi Ho , Wei-Chun Kao , Yu-Yen Ou , Kai-Lung Hua

Cryptocoins (i.e., Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin) are tradable digital assets. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption techniques guarantee the security of the transactions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

Bitcoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that is gaining more popularity in recent years. Previous studies have shown that closing price alone is not enough to forecast stock market series. We introduce a new set of time series and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Stefano Sossi-Rojas , Gissel Velarde , Damian Zieba

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

The popularity of cryptocurrencies has grown significantly in recent years, and they have become an important asset for internet trading. One of the main drawbacks of cryptocurrencies is the high volatility and fluctuation in value. The…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Wantall Newby , Nickuk Nishikawa

This paper addresses the problem of pricing involved financial derivatives by means of advanced of deep learning techniques. More precisely, we smartly combine several sophisticated neural network-based concepts like differential machine…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-18 Francisco Gómez Casanova , Álvaro Leitao , Fernando de Lope Contreras , Carlos Vázquez

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour
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