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We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

This paper proposes multivariate copula models for hierarchical data. They account for two types of correlation: one is between variables measured on the same unit and the other is a correlation between units in the same cluster. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Talagbe Gabin Akpo , Louis-Paul Rivest

We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-05 Max Potratzki , Manuel Adams , Timo Bröhl , Klaus Lehnertz

Modeling of high order multivariate probability distribution is a difficult problem which occurs in many fields. Copula approach is a good choice for this purpose, but the curse of dimensionality still remains a problem. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-16 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

Multivariate time series classification is a task with increasing importance due to the proliferation of new problems in various fields (economy, health, energy, transport, crops, etc.) where a large number of information sources are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Francisco J. Baldán , José M. Benítez

Copula-based time series models can model univariate and stationary time series in a flexible way by decomposing the joint distribution of consecutive observations into a copula and the stationary distribution. Implicitly this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Sven Pappert

Circular data arise in many areas of application. Recently, there has been interest in looking at circular data collected separately over time and over space. Here, we extend some of this work to the spatio-temporal setting, introducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

We propose a class of continuous-time Markov counting processes for analyzing correlated binary data and establish a correspondence between these models and sums of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. Our approach generalizes many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Daniel Zelterman

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

In many studies multivariate event time data are generated from clusters having a possibly complex association pattern. Flexible models are needed to capture this dependence. Vine copulas serve this purpose. Inference methods for vine…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-25 Nicole Barthel , Candida Geerdens , Matthias Killiches , Paul Janssen , Claudia Czado

Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting. However, the computational and numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-28 David Salinas , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Laurent Callot , Roberto Medico , Jan Gasthaus

This article extends the literature on copulas with discrete or continuous marginals to the case where some of the marginals are a mixture of discrete and continuous components. We do so by carefully defining the likelihood as the density…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 David Gunawan , Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

In this paper, we analyze a L{\'e}vy model based on two popular concepts - subordination and L{\'e}vy copulas. More precisely, we consider a two-dimensional L{\'e}vy process such that each component is a time-changed (subordinated) Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-10 Vladimir Panov , Igor Sirotkin

We introduce a copula mixture model to perform dependency-seeking clustering when co-occurring samples from different data sources are available. The model takes advantage of the great flexibility offered by the copulas framework to extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Melanie Rey , Volker Roth

Building higher-dimensional copulas is generally recognized as a difficult problem. Regular-vines using bivariate copulas provide a flexible class of high-dimensional dependency models. In large dimensions, the drawback of the model is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-07 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

Describing a time series parsimoniously is the first step to study the underlying dynamics. For a time-discrete system, a generating partition provides a compact description such that a time series and a symbolic sequence are one-to-one.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-09 Yoshito Hirata , Thomas Stemler , Deniz Eroglu , Norbert Marwan

In probability and statistics, copulas play important roles theoretically as well as to address a wide range of problems in various application areas. In this paper, we introduce the concept of multivariate discrete copulas, discuss their…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-27 Roman Schefzik

A multifractal-like representation for multi-time multi-scale velocity correlation in turbulence and dynamical turbulent models is proposed. The importance of subleading contributions to time correlations is highlighted. The fulfillment of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 L. Biferale , G. Boffetta , A. Celani , F. Toschi

This paper proposes a novel multivariate time series model named Copula-linked univariate D-vines (CuDvine), which enables the simultaneous copula-based modeling of both temporal and cross-sectional dependence for multivariate time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Zifeng Zhao , Peng Shi , Zhengjun Zhang