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Instrumental variables (IV) are a useful tool for estimating causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. IV methods are well developed for uncensored outcomes, particularly for structural linear equation models, where simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Behzad Kianian , Jung In Kim , Jason P. Fine , Limin Peng

Treatment effect heterogeneity plays an important role in many areas of causal inference and within recent years, estimation of the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) has received much attention in the statistical community. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Simon Christoffer Ziersen , Torben Martinussen

Complex problems may require sophisticated, non-linear learning methods such as kernel machines or deep neural networks to achieve state of the art prediction accuracies. However, high prediction accuracies are not the only objective to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-24 Marina M. -C. Vidovic , Nico Görnitz , Klaus-Robert Müller , Marius Kloft

In discriminative settings such as regression and classification there are two random variables at play, the inputs X and the targets Y. Here, we demonstrate that the Variational Information Bottleneck can be viewed as a compromise between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-18 Alexander A Alemi , Warren R Morningstar , Ben Poole , Ian Fischer , Joshua V Dillon

When modelling HIV epidemics, it is important to incorporate set-point viral load and its heritability. As set-point viral load distributions can differ significantly amongst epidemics, it is imperative to account for the observed local…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-28 Pieter Libin , Laurens Hernalsteen , Kristof Theys , Perpetua Gomes , Ana Abecasis , Ann Nowe

In high dimensional analysis, effects of explanatory variables on responses sometimes rely on certain exposure variables, such as time or environmental factors. In this paper, to characterize the importance of each predictor, we utilize its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-11 Yeqing Zhou , Jingyuan Liu , Zhihui Hao , Liping Zhu

Variable importance (VI) tools describe how much covariates contribute to a prediction model's accuracy. However, important variables for one well-performing model (for example, a linear model $f(\mathbf{x})=\mathbf{x}^{T}\beta$ with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Aaron Fisher , Cynthia Rudin , Francesca Dominici

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Scoring of variables for importance in predicting a response is an ill-defined concept. Several methods have been proposed but little is known of their performance. This paper fills the gap with a comparative evaluation of eleven methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Wei-Yin Loh , Peigen Zhou

Importance sampling is a central idea underlying off-policy prediction in reinforcement learning. It provides a strategy for re-weighting samples from a distribution to obtain unbiased estimates under another distribution. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Kristopher De Asis , Eric Graves , Richard S. Sutton

Studies of vaccine efficacy often record both the incidence of vaccine-targeted virus strains (primary outcome) and the incidence of non-targeted strains (secondary outcome). However, standard estimates of vaccine efficacy on targeted…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-02 Lola Etievant , Joshua N. Sampson , Mitchell H. Gail

Classification models are a fundamental component of physical-asset management technologies such as structural health monitoring (SHM) systems and digital twins. Previous work introduced risk-based active learning, an online approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Aidan J. Hughes , Lawrence A. Bull , Paul Gardner , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

The pervasive use of prevalent cohort studies on disease duration, increasingly calls for appropriate methodologies to account for the biases that invariably accompany samples formed by such data. It is well-known, for example, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David Stephens

The central aim in this paper is to address variable selection questions in nonlinear and nonparametric regression. Motivated by statistical genetics, where nonlinear interactions are of particular interest, we introduce a novel and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Lorin Crawford , Seth R. Flaxman , Daniel E. Runcie , Mike West

In medical and epidemiological studies, one of the most common settings is studying the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome, where the time-to-event might be censored before end of study. A common parameter of interest in such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-15 Guilherme W. F. Barros , Jenny Häggström

We propose a deep generative approach to nonparametric estimation of conditional survival and hazard functions with right-censored data. The key idea of the proposed method is to first learn a conditional generator for the joint conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Xingyu Zhou , Wen Su , Changyu Liu , Yuling Jiao , Xingqiu Zhao , Jian Huang

Covariate adjustment is an approach to improve the precision of trial analyses by adjusting for baseline variables that are prognostic of the primary endpoint. Motivated by the SEARCH Universal HIV Test-and-Treat Trial (2013-2017), we tell…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Laura B. Balzer , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

We propose an iterative variable selection method for the accelerated failure time model using high-dimensional survival data. Our method pioneers the use of the recently proposed structured screen-and-select framework for survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Nilotpal Sanyal

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

We propose a method for comparing survival data based on the higher criticism of p-values obtained from multiple exact hypergeometric tests. The method accommodates non-informative right-censorship and is sensitive to hazard differences in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Alon Kipnis , Ben Galili , Zohar Yakhini
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