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When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

Feature selection is an important but challenging task in causal inference for obtaining unbiased estimates of causal quantities. Properly selected features in causal inference not only significantly reduce the time required to implement a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

This work bridges the gap between staggered adoption designs and survival analysis to estimate causal effects in settings with time-varying treatments, addressing a fundamental challenge in medical research exemplified by the Stanford Heart…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Xiang Meng , Iavor Bojinov

Analysis of competing risks data is often complicated by the incomplete or selectively missing information on the cause of failure. Standard approaches typically assume that the cause of failure is missing at random (MAR), an assumption…

Active-controlled trials with non-inferiority objectives are often used when effective interventions are available, but new options may offer advantages or meet public health needs. In these trials, participants are randomized to an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Fei Gao , Holly Janes

This work studies the statistical properties of the maximum penalized likelihood approach in a semi-parametric framework. We recall the penalized likelihood approach for estimating a function and review some asymptotic results. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-31 Daniel Commenges , Jérémie Bureau , Hein Putter

Studies of HPV vaccine efficacy usually record infections with vaccine targeted and nontargeted strains. Contrary to blinded randomized controlled trials, confounding bias can be a threat and risk compensation may occur in observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Lola Etievant

Respondent-driven sampling is a form of link-tracing network sampling, which is widely used to study hard-to-reach populations, often to estimate population proportions. Previous treatments of this process have used a with-replacement…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-25 Krista J. Gile

The choice of the most effective treatment may eventually be influenced by breast cancer survival prediction. To predict the chances of a patient surviving, a variety of techniques were employed, such as statistical, machine learning, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Khaoula Chtouki , Maryem Rhanoui , Mounia Mikram , Kamelia Amazian , Siham Yousfi

A large body of work in behavioral fields attempts to develop models that describe the way people, as opposed to rational agents, make decisions. A recent Choice Prediction Competition (2015) challenged researchers to suggest a model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-01 Gali Noti , Effi Levi , Yoav Kolumbus , Amit Daniely

Accurate time-to-event prediction is integral to decision-making, informing medical guidelines, hiring decisions, and resource allocation. Survival analysis, the quantitative framework used to model time-to-event data, accounts for patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Vincent Jeanselme , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

The European Medicines Agency has in recent years allowed licensing of new pharmaceuticals at an earlier stage in the clinical trial process. When trial evidence is obtained at an early stage, the events of interest, such as disease…

Predicting the remaining useful life of machinery, infrastructure, or other equipment can facilitate preemptive maintenance decisions, whereby a failure is prevented through timely repair or replacement. This allows for a better decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Mathias Kraus , Stefan Feuerriegel

Deep learning excels in the analysis of unstructured data and recent advancements allow to extend these techniques to survival analysis. In the context of clinical radiology, this enables, e.g., to relate unstructured volumetric images to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Tobias Weber , Michael Ingrisch , Matthias Fabritius , Bernd Bischl , David Rügamer

While the HVTN 505 trial showed no overall efficacy of the tested vaccine to prevent HIV infection over placebo, previous studies, biological theories, and the finding that immune response markers strongly correlated with infection in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-12 Peter B. Gilbert , Bryan S. Blette , Bryan E. Shepherd , Michael G. Hudgens

Survival analysis can sometimes involve individuals who will not experience the event of interest, forming what is known as the cured group. Identifying such individuals is not always possible beforehand, as they provide only right-censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Jinqing Li , Jun Ma

We study explained variation under the additive hazards regression model for right-censored data. We consider different approaches for developing such a measure, and focus on one that estimates the proportion of variation in the failure…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-02 Denise Rava , Ronghui Xu

This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Matteo Buttarazzi , Claudia Ceci

Efficient variable selection in high-dimensional cancer genomic studies is critical for discovering genes associated with specific cancer types and for predicting response to treatment. Censored survival data is prevalent in such studies.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-04 Amir Nikooienejad , Wenyi Wang , Valen E. Johnson

In this paper, we propose two variable selection methods for adjusting the censoring information for survival times, such as the restricted mean survival time. To adjust for the influence of censoring, we consider an inverse survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Masahiro Kojima
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