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We revisit functional central limit theorems for additive functionals of ergodic Markov diffusion processes. Translated in the language of partial differential equations of evolution, they appear as diffusion limits in the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-06 Patrick Cattiaux , Djalil Chafai , Arnaud Guillin

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

The propagation of chaos and associated law of large numbers for mean-field interacting age-dependent Hawkes processes (when the number of processes n goes to +$\infty$) being granted by the study performed in (Chevallier, 2015), the aim of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Julien Chevallier

We characterize a Hawkes point process with kernel proportional to the probability density function of Mittag-Leffler random variables. This kernel decays as a power law with exponent $\beta +1 \in (1,2]$. Several analytical results can be…

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

In this paper, we obtain some uniform laws of large numbers and functional central limit theorems for sequential empirical measure processes indexed by classes of product functions satisfying appropriate Vapnik-Chervonenkis properties.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-03 Omar El-Dakkak

We give general conditions for the central limit theorem and weak convergence to Brownian motion (the weak invariance principle / functional central limit theorem) to hold for observables of compact group extensions of nonuniformly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-25 Georg A. Gottwald , Ian Melbourne

A functional limit theorem is established for the partial-sum process of a class of stationary sequences which exhibit both heavy tails and long-range dependence. The stationary sequence is constructed using multiple stochastic integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Shuyang Bai , Takashi Owada , Yizao Wang

This article investigates weak convergence of the sequential $d$-dimensional empirical process under strong mixing. Weak convergence is established for mixing rates $\alpha_n = O(n^{-a})$, where $a>1$, which slightly improves upon existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-19 Axel Bücher

In this paper, we establish a joint (bivariate) functional central limit theorem of the sample quantile and the $r$-th absolute centred sample moment for functionals of mixing processes. More precisely, we consider $L_2$-near epoch…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Marcel Bräutigam , Marie Kratz

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

The purpose of this paper is to prove a weak convergence result for empirical processes indexed in general classes of functions and with an underlying $\alpha$-mixing sequence of random variables. In particular the uniformly boundedness…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Maria Mohr

Model merging enables powerful capabilities in neural networks without requiring additional training. In this paper, we introduce a novel perspective on model merging by leveraging the fundamental mechanisms of neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Haiquan Qiu , You Wu , Dong Li , Jianmin Guo , Quanming Yao

Many complex systems have natural representations as multi-layer networks. While these formulations retain more information than standard single-layer network models, there is not yet a fully developed theory for computing network metrics…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-17 Daryl R. DeFord , Scott D. Pauls

We present the first exact analysis of some of the temporal properties of multivariate self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson processes, which constitute powerful representations of a large variety of systems with bursty events, for which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-26 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

We show that univariate and symmetric multivariate Hawkes processes are only weakly causal: the true log-likelihoods of real and reversed event time vectors are almost equal, thus parameter estimation via maximum likelihood only weakly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-18 Marcus Cordi , Damien Challet , Ioane Muni Toke

Let $(X_{k})_{k \in \mathbb Z }$ be a linear process with values in a separable Hilbert space $\mathbb{H}$ given by $X_{k} =\sum_{j=0}^{\infty} (j+1)^{-N}\varepsilon_{k-j}$ for each $k \in \mathbb Z$, where $N:\mathbb{H} \to \mathbb{H}$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Marie-Christine Düker

Nonlinear time series models with exogenous regressors are essential in econometrics, queuing theory, and machine learning, though their statistical analysis remains incomplete. Key results, such as the law of large numbers and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Attila Lovas

We establish strong invariance principles for sums of stationary and ergodic processes with nearly optimal bounds. Applications to linear and some nonlinear processes are discussed. Strong laws of large numbers and laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Wei Biao Wu

In this note we discuss additional properties of mixed Poisson distributions. We discuss the convergence of mixed Poisson distributions to its mixing distribution for the scaling parameter tending to infinity. Moreover, we obtain a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Markus Kuba