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Predicting the ancestral sequences of a group of homologous sequences related by a phylogenetic tree has been the subject of many studies, and numerous methods have been proposed to this purpose. Theoretical results are available that show…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-05 Olivier Gascuel , Mike Steel

Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs. Often used in the medical field, survival analysis deals with incomplete (i.e., censored) data, for instance, from patients who did not experience the event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Thalea Schlender , Peter A. N. Bosman , Tanja Alderliesten

Generative models derived from large protein sequence alignments define complex fitness landscapes, but their utility for accurately modeling non-equilibrium evolutionary dynamics remains unclear. In this work, we perform a rigorous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Leonardo Di Bari , Thierry Mora , Andrea Pagnani , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Francesco Zamponi , Saverio Rossi

In particle-in-cell simulations and some other statistical computations, the representation of modelled distributions with tracked macro-particles can become locally excessive. Merging or resampling dense clusters or highly-populated phase…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-21 Arkady Gonoskov

In the past several years a wide range of methods for the construction of regression trees and other estimators based on the recursive partitioning of samples have appeared in the statistics literature. Many applications involve data…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-07 Daniell Toth , John Eltinge

We observe $n$ sequences at each of $m$ sites, and assume that they have evolved from an ancestral sequence that forms the root of a binary tree of known topology and branch lengths, but the sequence states at internal nodes are unknown.…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-28 Adam Persing , Ajay Jasra , Alexandros Beskos , David Balding , Maria De Iorio

Maximum likelihood is one of the most widely used techniques to infer evolutionary histories. Although it is thought to be intractable, a proof of its hardness has been lacking. Here, we give a short proof that computing the maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-30 S. Roch

The ability to estimate the evolutionary distance between extant genomes plays a crucial role in many phylogenomic studies. Often such estimation is based on the parsimony assumption, implying that the distance between two genomes can be…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-29 Nikita Alexeev , Max A. Alekseyev

As an alternative to parsimony analyses, stochastic models have been proposed (Lewis, 2001), (Nylander, et al., 2004) for morphological characters, so that maximum likelihood or Bayesian analyses may be used for phylogenetic inference. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-20 Elizabeth S. Allman , Mark T. Holder , John A. Rhodes

The problem of reconstructing evolutionary trees or phylogenies is of great interest in computational biology. A popular model for this problem assumes that we are given the set of leaves (current species) of an unknown binary tree and the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Eshwar Ram Arunachaleswaran , Anindya De , Sampath Kannan

In phylogenomics, species-tree methods must contend with two major sources of noise; stochastic gene-tree variation under the multispecies coalescent model (MSC) and finite-sequence substitutional noise. Fast agglomerative methods such as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-11 Georgios Aliatimis , Ruriko Yoshida , Burak Boyaci , James A. Grant

Estimating the effective sample size (ESS) is fundamental in Bayesian phylogenetic inference to properly account for autocorrelation in MCMC samples. While methods for continuous parameters are well established, the discrete and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-05 Jonathan Klawitter , Lars Berling , Jordan Douglas , Dong Xie , Alexei J. Drummond

Accurate estimation of evolutionary distances between taxa is important for many phylogenetic reconstruction methods. In the case of bacteria, distances can be estimated using a range of different evolutionary models, from single nucleotide…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-17 Stuart Serdoz , Attila Egri-Nagy , Jeremy Sumner , Barbara R. Holland , Peter D. Jarvis , Mark M. Tanaka , Andrew R. Francis

A method for creating a forest of model trees to fit samples of a function defined on images is described in several steps: down-sampling the images, determining a tree's hyperplanes, applying convolutions to the hyperplanes to handle small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 William Ward Armstrong , Hongyi Li , Jun Xu

Quartet Reconstruction, the task of recovering a phylogenetic tree from smaller trees on four species called \textit{quartets}, is a well-studied problem in theoretical computer science with far-reaching connections to statistics, graph…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Dionysis Arvanitakis , Vaggos Chatziafratis , Yiyuan Luo , Konstantin Makarychev

We consider supervised learning with random decision trees, where the tree construction is completely random. The method is popularly used and works well in practice despite the simplicity of the setting, but its statistical mechanism is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-06 Mariusz Bojarski , Anna Choromanska , Krzysztof Choromanski , Yann LeCun

In this article the results of Waddell and Azad (2009) are extended. In particular, the geometric percentage mean standard deviation measure of the fit of distances to a phylogenetic tree is adjusted for the number of parameters fitted to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-01-04 Peter J. Waddell , Ariful Azad , Ishita Khan

We investigated testing the likelihood of a phylogenetic tree by comparison to its subtree pruning and regrafting (SPR) neighbors, with or without re-optimizing branch lengths. This is inspired by aspects of Bayesian significance tests, and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-30 Thurston H. Y. Dang , Elchanan Mossel

Sparse decision trees are one of the most common forms of interpretable models. While recent advances have produced algorithms that fully optimize sparse decision trees for prediction, that work does not address policy design, because the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Ali Behrouz , Mathias Lecuyer , Cynthia Rudin , Margo Seltzer

Recent work has proven the existence of extreme inbreeding in a European ancestry sample taken from the contemporary UK population \cite{nature_01}. This result brings our attention again to a math problem related to inbreeding family trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 C. Jarne , F A. Gómez Albarracín , M. Caruso
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