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This book is about conformal prediction and related inferential techniques that build on permutation tests and exchangeability. These techniques are useful in a diverse array of tasks, including hypothesis testing and providing uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Rina Foygel Barber , Stephen Bates

We propose a method for testing whether hierarchically ordered groups of potentially correlated variables are significant for explaining a response in a high-dimensional linear model. In presence of highly correlated variables, as is very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Jacopo Mandozzi , Peter Bühlmann

Multi-task learning (MTL) considers learning a joint model for multiple tasks by optimizing a convex combination of all task losses. To solve the optimization problem, existing methods use an adaptive weight updating scheme, where task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Yifei He , Shiji Zhou , Guojun Zhang , Hyokun Yun , Yi Xu , Belinda Zeng , Trishul Chilimbi , Han Zhao

Assessing the health status (HS) of system/component has long been a challenging task in the prognostic and health management (PHM) study. Differed from other regression based prognostic task such as predicting the remaining useful life,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-12 Zekun Wu , Kaiwei Wu

Non-contrast chest CTs offer a rich opportunity for both conventional pulmonary and opportunistic extra-pulmonary screening. While Multi-Task Learning (MTL) can unify these diverse tasks, standard hard-parameter sharing approaches are often…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Fengbei Liu , Sunwoo Kwak , Hao Phung , Nusrat Binta Nizam , Ilan Richter , Nir Uriel , Hadar Averbuch-Elor , Daborah Estrin , Mert R. Sabuncu

Generating probabilistic forecasts of potential outcomes and individual treatment effects (ITE) is essential for risk-aware decision-making in domains such as healthcare, policy, marketing, and finance. We propose two novel methods: the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jef Jonkers , Jarne Verhaeghe , Glenn Van Wallendael , Luc Duchateau , Sofie Van Hoecke

With the rise of Deep Neural Networks, machine learning systems are nowadays ubiquitous in a number of real-world applications, which bears the need for highly reliable models. This requires a thorough look not only at the accuracy of such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Pedro Conde , Tiago Barros , Rui L. Lopes , Cristiano Premebida , Urbano J. Nunes

Pairwise human-preference platforms such as Chatbot Arena have become central to large language model (LLM) evaluation, yet reliable task-specific ranking remains challenging. Global leaderboards mask task heterogeneity, while ranking each…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Jiachun Li , David Simchi-Levi , Will Wei Sun

This paper introduces multimodal conformal regression. Traditionally confined to scenarios with solely numerical input features, conformal prediction is now extended to multimodal contexts through our methodology, which harnesses internal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Alexis Bose , Jonathan Ethier , Paul Guinand

As a common step in refining their scientific inquiry, investigators are often interested in performing some screening of a collection of given statistical hypotheses. For example, they may wish to determine whether any one of several…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Adam Elder , Marco Carone , Peter Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

We present a new method for searching optimal hyperparameters among several tasks and several criteria. Multi-Task Multi Criteria method (MTMC) provides several Pareto-optimal solutions, among which one solution is selected with given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Kirill Akhmetzyanov , Alexander Yuzhakov

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables, existing multivariate methods either impose rigid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Sacha Braun , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

Large-scale multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional statistical inference. It is increasingly common that various types of auxiliary information, reflecting the structural relationship among the hypotheses, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Jun Chen , Xianyang Zhang

Unlike the typical classification setting where each instance is associated with a single class, in multi-label learning each instance is associated with multiple classes simultaneously. Therefore the learning task in this setting is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Harris Papadopoulos

The paper considers the problem of multi-objective decision support when outcomes are uncertain. We extend the concept of Pareto-efficient decisions to take into account the uncertainty of decision outcomes across varying contexts. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Sofia Ek , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Standard conformal prediction offers a marginal guarantee on coverage, but for prediction sets to be truly useful, they should ideally ensure coverage conditional on each test point. Unfortunately, it is impossible to achieve exact,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Jivat Neet Kaur , Michael I. Jordan , Ahmed Alaa

In the problem of composite hypothesis testing, identifying the potential uniformly most powerful (UMP) unbiased test is of great interest. Beyond typical hypothesis settings with exponential family, it is usually challenging to prove the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

When permutation methods are used in practice, often a limited number of random permutations are used to decrease the computational burden. However, most theoretical literature assumes that the whole permutation group is used, and methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle Goeman

To efficiently select optimal dataset combinations for enhancing multi-task learning (MTL) performance in large language models, we proposed a novel framework that leverages a neural network to predict the best dataset combinations. The…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Zaifu Zhan , Rui Zhang

Data with multiple functional recordings at each observational unit are increasingly common in various fields including medical imaging and environmental sciences. To conduct inference for such observations, we develop a paired two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Colin Decker , Dehan Kong , Stanislav Volgushev
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