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Recently, there has been great interest in estimating the conditional average treatment effect using flexible machine learning methods. However, in practice, investigators often have working hypotheses about effect heterogeneity across…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

In the context of individual-level causal inference, we study the problem of predicting whether someone will respond or not to a treatment based on their features and past examples of features, treatment indicator (e.g., drug/no drug), and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus

Estimating and obtaining reliable inference for the marginally adjusted causal dose-response curve for continuous treatments without relying on parametric assumptions is a well-known statistical challenge. Parametric models risk introducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Junming Shi , Wenxin Zhang , Alan E. Hubbard , Mark van der Laan

In multivariate nonparametric regression the additive models are very useful when a suitable parametric model is difficult to find. The backfitting algorithm is a powerful tool to estimate the additive components. However, due to complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-18 Abhijit Mandal

Outcome-dependent sampling designs are common in many different scientific fields including epidemiology, ecology, and economics. As with all observational studies, such designs often suffer from unmeasured confounding, which generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Erin E. Gabriel , Michael C. Sachs , Arvid Sjölander

Weighted estimators are commonly used for estimating exposure effects in observational settings to establish causal relations. These estimators have a long history of development when the exposure of interest is binary and where the weights…

This paper proposes a novel criterion for the allocation of patients in Phase~I dose-escalation clinical trials aiming to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). Conventionally, using a model-based approach the next patient is allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

We present a novel approach for constructing discrete optimization benchmarks that enables fine-grained control over problem properties, and such benchmarks can facilitate analyzing discrete algorithm behaviors. We build benchmark problems…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Furong Ye , Frank Neumann , Thomas Bäck , Niki van Stein

Bottleneck evaluation plays a crucial part in performance tuning of HPC applications, as it directly influences the search for optimizations and the selection of the best hardware for a given code. In this paper, we introduce a new…

Performance · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Aurélien Delval , Pablo de Oliveira Castro , William Jalby , Etienne Renault

Phase I dose-finding trials are increasingly challenging as the relationship between efficacy and toxicity of new compounds (or combination of them) becomes more complex. Despite this, most commonly used methods in practice focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Cong Shen , Zhiyang Wang , Sofia S. Villar , Mihaela van der Schaar

Return-to-baseline is an important method to impute missing values or unobserved potential outcomes when certain hypothetical strategies are used to handle intercurrent events in clinical trials. Current return-to-baseline approaches seen…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Yongming Qu , Biyue Dai

Standard causal inference characterizes treatment effect through averages, but the counterfactual distributions could be different in not only the central tendency but also spread and shape. To provide a comprehensive evaluation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Steven G. Xu , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich

Most conventional risk analysis methods rely on a single best estimate of exposure per person which does not allow for adjustment for exposure-related uncertainty. Here, we propose a Bayesian model averaging method to properly quantify the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-07 Deukwoo Kwon , F. Owen Hoffman , Brian E. Moroz , Steven L. Simon

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) assisted lung nodule detection systems are increasingly deployed in clinical settings without site-specific validation. Performance reported under benchmark conditions may not reflect real-world…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Daniel Soliman

This paper analyzes local convergence of the block Newton (BN) method introduced in [5, 6] for one-dimensional shallow neural network approximation to functions and diffusion-reaction problems. The BN method consists of the 2x2 block…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Zhiqiang Cai , Anastassia Doktorova , Robert D. Falgout , César Herrera

Intercurrent events, common in clinical trials and observational studies, affect the existence or interpretation of final outcomes. Principal stratification addresses this challenge by defining local average treatment effect estimands…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Jiaqi Tong , Brennan Kahan , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

Dose-finding trials for oncology studies are traditionally designed to assess safety in the early stages of drug development. With the rise of molecularly targeted therapies and immuno-oncology compounds, biomarker-driven approaches have…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Xijin Chen , Pavel Mozgunov , Richard D. Baird , Thomas Jaki

Adaptive radiation therapy (ART) seeks to maintain accurate dose delivery by monitoring anatomical changes during treatment and modifying plans accordingly, yet commonly used approaches for estimating cumulative dose rely on heuristic,…

Medical Physics · Physics 2026-03-03 Robert Boyd , Wolfgang A. Tomé

Suppose (standardized) measurements or statistics are monitored to raise an alarm when a threshold is exceeded. Often, the underlying population is heterogenous with respect to important discrete variables and thus samples may consist of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Ansgar Steland
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