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In oncology phase I trials, model-assisted designs have been increasingly adopted because they enable adaptive yet operationally simple dose adjustment based on accumulating safety data, leading to a paradigm shift in dose-escalation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Kana Yamada , Hisato Sunami , Kentaro Takeda , Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

We propose the BayesDose-Framework, a Bayesian approach for fast and accurate dose prediction in proton therapy. Our framework is based on a previously published deterministic LSTM model and is trained and evaluated on simulated beamlet…

Medical Physics · Physics 2023-07-04 Luke Voss , Ahmad Neishabouri , Tim Ortkamp , Andrea Mairani , Niklas Wahl

Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

The forecasting of credit default risk has been an active research field for several decades. Historically, logistic regression has been used as a major tool due to its compliance with regulatory requirements: transparency, explainability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye

Penalized B-splines are routinely used in additive models to describe smooth changes in a response with quantitative covariates. It is typically done through the conditional mean in the exponential family using generalized additive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Philippe Lambert

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to evaluate the causal effect of treatment in a randomized trial where a nonterminal event may be censored by a terminal event, but not vice versa (i.e., semi-competing risks). Based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Yanxun Xu , Daniel Scharfstein , Peter Müller , Michael Daniels

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Jan-Matthis Lueckmann , Jan Boelts , David S. Greenberg , Pedro J. Gonçalves , Jakob H. Macke

Diagnostic accuracy studies assess sensitivity and specificity of a new index test in relation to an established comparator or the reference standard. The development and selection of the index test is usually assumed to be conducted prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Max Westphal , Antonia Zapf

Semi-supervised semantic segmentation (SS-SS) aims to mitigate the heavy annotation burden of dense pixel labeling by leveraging abundant unlabeled images alongside a small labeled set. While current consistency regularization methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Haruya Ishikawa , Yoshimitsu Aoki

Existing methods in estimating the mean outcome under a given dynamic treatment regime rely on intention-to-treat analyses which estimate the effect of following a certain dynamic treatment regime regardless of compliance behavior of…

Interval-censoring frequently occurs in studies of chronic diseases where disease status is inferred from intermittently collected biomarkers. Although many methods have been developed to analyze such data, they typically assume perfect…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Yuhao Deng , Donglin Zeng , Yuanjia Wang

The paper proposes a novel model assessment paradigm aiming to address shortcoming of posterior predictive $p-$values, which provide the default metric of fit for Bayesian structural equation modelling (BSEM). The model framework of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-30 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Irini Moustaki

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved impressive results across a range of natural language processing tasks, but their potential to generate harmful content has raised serious safety concerns. Current toxicity detectors primarily rely…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Zhiqiang Kou , Junyang Chen , Xin-Qiang Cai , Ming-Kun Xie , Biao Liu , Changwei Wang , Lei Feng , Yuheng Jia , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama , Xin Geng

Backdoor and data-poisoning attacks can flip predictions with tiny training corruptions, yet a sharp theory linking poisoning strength, overparameterization, and regularization is lacking. We analyze ridge least squares with an unpenalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Donald Flynn , Diego Granziol

Early phase, personalized dose-finding trials for combination therapies seek to identify patient-specific optimal biological dose (OBD) combinations, which are defined as safe dose combinations which maximize therapeutic benefit for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-18 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

In the development of new cancer treatment, an essential step is to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) via phase I clinical trials. Generally speaking, phase I trial designs can be classified as either model-based or algorithm-based…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-02 Huaqing Jin , Wenbin Du , Guosheng Yin

We introduce a novel probabilistic group testing framework, termed Poisson group testing, in which the number of defectives follows a right-truncated Poisson distribution. The Poisson model has a number of new applications, including…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Amin Emad , Olgica Milenkovic

Learning an individualized dose rule in personalized medicine is a challenging statistical problem. Existing methods often suffer from the curse of dimensionality, especially when the decision function is estimated nonparametrically. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Wenzhuo Zhou , Ruoqing Zhu , Donglin Zeng

Adaptive nuclear-norm penalization is proposed for low-rank matrix approximation, by which we develop a new reduced-rank estimation method for the general high-dimensional multivariate regression problems. The adaptive nuclear norm of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-25 Kun Chen , Hongbo Dong , Kung-Sik Chan

We consider the standard optimistic bilevel optimization problem, in particular upper- and lower-level constraints can be coupled. By means of the lower-level value function, the problem is transformed into a single-level optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Andreas Fischer , Alain B. Zemkoho , Shenglong Zhou