Related papers: A GPR-Based Emulator for Semi-numerical Reionizati…
Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…
We show that Gaussian process regression (GPR) allows representing multivariate functions with low-dimensional terms via kernel design. When using a kernel built with HDMR (High-dimensional model representation), one obtains a similar type…
We here consider the subset simulation method which approaches a failure event using a decreasing sequence of nested intermediate failure events. The method resembles importance sampling, which actively explores a probability space by…
We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…
Gaussian Processes (GPs) are highly expressive, probabilistic models. A major limitation is their computational complexity. Naively, exact GP inference requires $\mathcal{O}(N^3)$ computations with $N$ denoting the number of modeled points.…
One of the primary challenges in enabling the scientific potential of 21 cm intensity mapping at the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) is the separation of astrophysical foreground contamination. Recent works have claimed that Gaussian process…
Supernova spectral time series can be used to reconstruct a spatially resolved explosion model known as supernova tomography. In addition to an observed spectral time series, a supernova tomography requires a radiative transfer model to…
The generalized partial credit model (GPCM) is a popular polytomous IRT model that has been widely used in large-scale educational surveys and health care services. Same as other IRT models, GPCM can be estimated via marginal maximum…
Modeling epidemic spread is critical for informing policy decisions aimed at mitigation. Accordingly, in this work we present a new data-driven method based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to model epidemic spread through the…
We derive an asymptotic expansion for the log likelihood of Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with equal covariance matrices in the low signal-to-noise regime. The expansion reveals an intimate connection between two types of algorithms for…
Liesel is a new probabilistic programming framework developed with the aim of supporting research on Bayesian inference based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations in general and semi-parametric regression specifications in…
It is often desirable to build a statistical emulator of a complex computer simulator in order to perform analysis which would otherwise be computationally infeasible. We propose methodology to model multivariate output from a computer…
Gaussian process (GP) regression is a flexible, nonparametric approach to regression that naturally quantifies uncertainty. In many applications, the number of responses and covariates are both large, and a goal is to select covariates that…
A simulation is useful when the phenomenon of interest is either expensive to regenerate or irreproducible with the same context. Recently, Bayesian inference on the distribution of the simulation input parameter has been implemented…
Mathematical models of biological systems are beginning to be used for safety-critical applications, where large numbers of repeated model evaluations are required to perform uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. Most of…
We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…
Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu-time expensive…
We present novel non-parametric representation math for local pseudopotentials (PP) based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). Local pseudopotentials are needed for materials simulations using Orbital-Free Density Functional Theory…
This work presents a novel method for extracting potential barrier distributions from experimental fusion cross sections. We utilize a simple Gaussian process regression (GPR) framework to model the observed cross sections as a function of…
We derive criteria for the selection of datapoints used for data-driven reduced-order modeling and other areas of supervised learning based on Gaussian process regression (GPR). While this is a well-studied area in the fields of active…