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This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

The Matrix Factorization models, sometimes called the latent factor models, are a family of methods in the recommender system research area to (1) generate the latent factors for the users and the items and (2) predict users' ratings on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Hung-Hsuan Chen

The rapid development of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications requires the training of large numbers of models. This growing demand highlights the importance of training models without human supervision, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Alexey Boldyrev , Fedor Ratnikov , Andrey Shevelev

We develop a deep reinforcement learning framework for dynamic portfolio optimization that combines a Dirichlet policy with cross-sectional attention mechanisms. The Dirichlet formulation ensures that portfolio weights are always feasible,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Pei Xue , Yuanchun Ye

Feature-based offline algorithm selection has shown its effectiveness in a wide range of optimization problems, including the black-box optimization problem. An algorithm selection system selects the most promising optimizer from an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Takushi Yoshikawa , Ryoji Tanabe

This paper investigates an important problem of an appropriate variance-covariance matrix estimation in the Modern Portfolio Theory. We propose a novel framework for variancecovariance matrix estimation for purposes of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Maciej Wysocki , Paweł Sakowski

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…

Deep learning algorithms have recently shown to be a successful tool in estimating parameters of statistical models for which simulation is easy, but likelihood computation is challenging. But the success of these approaches depends on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Amanda Lenzi , Haavard Rue

We adopt Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms to design trading strategies for continuous futures contracts. Both discrete and continuous action spaces are considered and volatility scaling is incorporated to create reward functions which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Gang Huang , Xiaohua Zhou , Qingyang Song

The complexity of financial data, characterized by its variability and low signal-to-noise ratio, necessitates advanced methods in quantitative investment that prioritize both performance and interpretability.Transitioning from early manual…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-13 Hao Shi , Weili Song , Xinting Zhang , Jiahe Shi , Cuicui Luo , Xiang Ao , Hamid Arian , Luis Seco

The paper examines the performance of regression models (OLS linear regression, Ridge regression, Random Forest, and Fully-connected Neural Network) on the prediction of CMA (Conservative Minus Aggressive) factor premium and the performance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Prabhu Prasad Panda , Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei , Xilin Chen , Haoshu Lyu

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Konstantinos-Leonidas Bisdoulis

Several explainable AI methods allow a Machine Learning user to get insights on the classification process of a black-box model in the form of local linear explanations. With such information, the user can judge which features are locally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Francesco Lomuscio , Paolo Bajardi , Alan Perotti , Elvio G. Amparore

Financial portfolio management describes the task of distributing funds and conducting trading operations on a set of financial assets, such as stocks, index funds, foreign exchange or cryptocurrencies, aiming to maximize the profit while…

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

We study continuous-time mean--variance portfolio selection in markets where stock prices are diffusion processes driven by observable factors that are also diffusion processes, yet the coefficients of these processes are unknown. Based on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Yilie Huang , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

Recently, deep matrix factorization has been established as a powerful model for unsupervised tasks, achieving promising results, especially for multi-view clustering. However, existing methods often lack effective feature selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-04 Yasser Khalafaoui , Basarab Matei , Martino Lovisetto , Nistor Grozavu

Precisely forecasting the excess returns of an asset (e.g., Tesla stock) is beneficial to all investors. However, the unpredictability of market dynamics, influenced by human behaviors, makes this a challenging task. In prior research,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Jingjing Guo

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert