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A linear multi-factor model is one of the most important tools in equity portfolio management. The linear multi-factor models are widely used because they can be easily interpreted. However, financial markets are not linear and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Kei Nakagawa , Tomoki Ito , Masaya Abe , Kiyoshi Izumi

In this paper, we implement and evaluate a conditional diffusion model for asset return prediction and portfolio construction on large-scale equity data. Our method models the full distribution of future returns conditioned on firm…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Avi Bagchi , Michael Tesfaye , Om Shastri

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui

In black-box optimization, a central question is which algorithm to use to solve a given, previously unseen, problem. Selecting a single algorithm, however, entails inherent risks: inaccuracies in the selector may lead to poor choices, and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Catalin-Viorel Dinu , Diederick Vermetten , Carola Doerr

We present an actor-critic-type reinforcement learning algorithm for solving the problem of hedging a portfolio of financial instruments such as securities and over-the-counter derivatives using purely historic data. The key characteristics…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Ben Wood

Utilizing market forecasts is pivotal in optimizing portfolio selection strategies. We introduce DeepClair, a novel framework for portfolio selection. DeepClair leverages a transformer-based time-series forecasting model to predict market…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Donghee Choi , Jinkyu Kim , Mogan Gim , Jinho Lee , Jaewoo Kang

This paper addresses the critical disconnect between prediction and decision quality in portfolio optimization by integrating Large Language Models (LLMs) with decision-focused learning. We demonstrate both theoretically and empirically…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-04 Yoontae Hwang , Yaxuan Kong , Stefan Zohren , Yongjae Lee

Our work focuses on deep learning (DL) portfolio optimization, tackling challenges in long-only, multi-asset strategies across market cycles. We propose training models with limited regime data using pre-training techniques and leveraging…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-14 Brandon Luo , Jim Skufca

We present a method for constructing the log-optimal portfolio using the well-calibrated forecasts of market values. Dawid's notion of calibration and the Blackwell approachability theorem are used for computing well-calibrated forecasts.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Vladimir V'yugin

Factor strategies have gained growing popularity in industry with the fast development of machine learning. Usually, multi-factors are fed to an algorithm for some cross-sectional return predictions, which are further used to construct a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-27 Xin Zhang , Lan Wu , Zhixue Chen

We study the dynamic portfolio selection of an investor who uses deep learning methods to forecast stock market excess returns. In a two-asset allocation problem, deep neural networks -- both feedforward and long short-term memory (LSTM)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-16 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

Portfolio management issues have been extensively studied in the field of artificial intelligence in recent years, but existing deep learning-based quantitative trading methods have some areas where they could be improved. First of all, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Qishuo Cheng , Le Yang , Jiajian Zheng , Miao Tian , Duan Xin

The representational capacity of modern neural network architectures has made them a default choice in various applications with high dimensional feature sets. But these high dimensional and potentially noisy features combined with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Vinay Varma K

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer

We develop a portfolio allocation framework that leverages deep learning techniques to address challenges arising from high-dimensional, non-stationary, and low-signal-to-noise market information. Our approach includes a dynamic embedding…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-31 Jinghai He , Cheng Hua , Chunyang Zhou , Zeyu Zheng

We relook at the classic equity fund selection and portfolio construction problems from a new perspective and propose an easy-to-implement framework to tackle the problem in practical investment. Rather than the conventional way by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-24 Yi Cao

The use of machine learning for statistical modeling (and thus, generative modeling) has grown in popularity with the proliferation of time series models, text-to-image models, and especially large language models. Fundamentally, the goal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-06 Achintya Gopal

Income and risk coexist, yet investors are often so focused on chasing high returns that they overlook the potential risks that can lead to high losses. Therefore, risk forecasting and risk control is the cornerstone of investment. To…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-14 Xinyuan Song

Portfolio allocation is crucial for investment companies. However, getting the best strategy in a complex and dynamic stock market is challenging. In this paper, we propose a novel Adaptive Deep Deterministic Reinforcement Learning scheme…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Yuancheng Zhan , Xiao-Yang Liu

Portfolio management is the art and science in fiance that concerns continuous reallocation of funds and assets across financial instruments to meet the desired returns to risk profile. Deep reinforcement learning (RL) has gained increasing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Yinheng Li , Junhao Wang , Yijie Cao