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Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular, sample-efficient technique for expensive, black-box optimization. One such problem arising in manufacturing is that of maximizing the reliability, or equivalently minimizing the probability of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jack M. Buckingham , Ivo Couckuyt , Juergen Branke

Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate Bayesian inference have been widely used in real-world applications. Despite the superior practical performance, their theoretical justification is less investigated in the literature, especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-23 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

This paper investigates the problem of efficient constrained global optimization of hybrid models that are a composition of a known white-box function and an expensive multi-output black-box function subject to noisy observations, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-31 Congwen Lu , Joel A. Paulson

In this paper, we study the application of the Thompson sampling (TS) methodology to the stochastic combinatorial multi-armed bandit (CMAB) framework. We first analyze the standard TS algorithm for the general CMAB model when the outcome…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siwei Wang , Wei Chen

We consider the fixed-budget best arm identification problem with rewards following normal distributions. In this problem, the forecaster is given $K$ arms (or treatments) and $T$ time steps. The forecaster attempts to find the arm with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-16 Junpei Komiyama

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

Optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions of discrete (and potentially continuous) design parameters is a ubiquitous problem in scientific and engineering applications. Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular, sample-efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Samuel Daulton , Xingchen Wan , David Eriksson , Maximilian Balandat , Michael A. Osborne , Eytan Bakshy

We study how to make decisions that minimize Bayesian regret in offline linear bandits. Prior work suggests that one must take actions with maximum lower confidence bound (LCB) on their reward. We argue that the reliance on LCB is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Marek Petrik , Guy Tennenholtz , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

We present an algorithm based on posterior sampling (aka Thompson sampling) that achieves near-optimal worst-case regret bounds when the underlying Markov Decision Process (MDP) is communicating with a finite, though unknown, diameter. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Shipra Agrawal , Randy Jia

Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen

In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

Bayesian optimization relies on iteratively constructing and optimizing an acquisition function. The latter turns out to be a challenging, non-convex optimization problem itself. Despite the relative importance of this step, most algorithms…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Yilin Xie , Shiqiang Zhang , Joel A. Paulson , Calvin Tsay

We address multi-armed bandits (MAB) where the objective is to maximize the cumulative reward under a probabilistic linear constraint. For a few real-world instances of this problem, constrained extensions of the well-known Thompson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Vidit Saxena , Joseph E. Gonzalez , Joakim Jaldén

Tight performance specifications in combination with operational constraints make model predictive control (MPC) the method of choice in various industries. As the performance of an MPC controller depends on a sufficiently accurate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-09 Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patient allocation towards more promising treatments based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Daniel Kaddaj , Stef Baas , Edwin Y. N. Tang , David S. Robertson , Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar

Bayesian optimization (BO) has proven to be an effective paradigm for the global optimization of expensive-to-sample systems. One of the main advantages of BO is its use of Gaussian processes (GPs) to characterize model uncertainty which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-30 Leonardo D. González , Victor M. Zavala

We consider the problem of finitely parameterized multi-armed bandits where the model of the underlying stochastic environment can be characterized based on a common unknown parameter. The true parameter is unknown to the learning agent.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Kishan Panaganti , Dileep Kalathil

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao

Consider the sequential optimization of a continuous, possibly non-convex, and expensive to evaluate objective function $f$. The problem can be cast as a Gaussian Process (GP) bandit where $f$ lives in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-23 Sattar Vakili , Nacime Bouziani , Sepehr Jalali , Alberto Bernacchia , Da-shan Shiu

Bayesian optimization (BO) has established itself as a leading strategy for efficiently optimizing expensive-to-evaluate functions. Existing BO methods mostly rely on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models and are not applicable to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Yongsheng Mei , Mahdi Imani , Tian Lan