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We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the renewal Poisson cluster process and the Hawkes process. Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Fabien Baeriswyl , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Wintenberger

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

We derive quantitative bounds in the Wasserstein distance for the approximation of stochastic integrals with respect to Hawkes processes by a normally distributed random variable. In the case of deterministic and non-negative integrands,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Mahmoud Khabou , Nicolas Privault , Anthony Reveillac

We show that the jumps correlation matrix of a multivariate Hawkes process is related to the Hawkes kernel matrix through a system of Wiener-Hopf integral equations. A Wiener-Hopf argument allows one to prove that this system (in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-16 Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-Francois Muzy

In this paper, we derive an explicit upper bound for the Wasserstein distance between a functional of point processes and a Gaussian distribution. Using Stein's method in conjunction with Malliavin's calculus and the Poisson embedding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

We investigate an application of slowly varying functions (in sense of Karamata) in the theory of Markov branching process. We treat the critical case so that the infinitesimal generating function of the process has the infinite second…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 A. Imomov , A. Meyliyev

We generalize the proof of Karamata's Theorem by the method of approximation by polynomials to the operator case. As a consequence, we offer a simple proof of \emph{uniform dual ergodicity} for a very large class of dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Ian Melbourne , Dalia Terhesiu

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

The Hawks process is a point process with a self-exciting property. It has been used to model earthquakes, social media events, infections, etc., and is getting a lot of attention. However, as a real problem, there are often situations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Masatoshi Goda

This article includes a short survey of selected averaging and dimension reduction techniques for deterministic fast-slow systems. This survey includes, among others, classical techniques, such as the WKB approximation or the averaging…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-11-21 Matthias Klar , Karsten Matthies , Johannes Zimmer

We prove Abelian and Tauberian theorems for regularised Cauchy transforms of positive Borel measures on the real line whose distribution functions grow at most polynomially at infinity. In particular, we relate the asymptotics of the…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Matthias Langer , Harald Woracek

We characterize a Hawkes point process with kernel proportional to the probability density function of Mittag-Leffler random variables. This kernel decays as a power law with exponent $\beta +1 \in (1,2]$. Several analytical results can be…

We introduce and investigate a new notion of the theory of approximation-the so-called degenerate approximation, i.e. approximation of the function of two (and more) variables (kernel) by means of degenerate function (kernel). We apply…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We define a numerical method that provides a non-parametric estimation of the kernel shape in symmetric multivariate Hawkes processes. This method relies on second order statistical properties of Hawkes processes that relate the covariance…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 E. Bacry , K. Dayri , J. F. Muzy

We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yifu Tang , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

This paper is devoted to establishing the full scaling limit theorems for multivariate Hawkes processes. Under some mild conditions on the exciting kernels, we develop a new way to prove that after a suitable time-spatial scaling, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Wei Xu

Numerous studies grounded on Hawkes processes have been carried out in many fields including finance, biology and social network. Hawkes processes form a class of selfexciting simple point processes. In this article, we consider a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Bartholomé Vieille , Rachid Senoussi , Samuel Soubeyrand

In this paper we consider some non linear Hawkes processes with signed reproduction function (or memory kernel) thus exhibiting both self-excitation and inhibition. We provide a Law of Large Numbers, a Central Limit Theorem and large…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

Because of their tractability and their natural interpretations in term of market quantities, Hawkes processes are nowadays widely used in high-frequency finance. However, in practice, the statistical estimation results seem to show that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum
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