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We introduce and treat rigorously a new multi-agent model of the continuous double auction or in other words the order book (OB). It is designed to explain collective behaviour of the market when new information affecting the market…
Intra-day price variations in financial markets are driven by the sequence of orders, called the order flow, that is submitted at high frequency by traders. This paper introduces a novel application of the Sequence Generative Adversarial…
Consider a discrete-time infinite horizon financial market model in which the logarithm of the stock price is a time discretization of a stochastic differential equation. Under conditions different from those given in a previous paper of…
We present a stochastic volatility market model where volatility is correlated with return and is represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. With this model we exactly measure the leverage effect and other stylized facts, such as mean…
Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…
In our previous studies we have investigated the structural complexity of time series describing stock returns on New York's and Warsaw's stock exchanges, by employing two estimators of Shannon's entropy rate based on Lempel-Ziv and Context…
In this paper we develop a semi-closed form solutions for the barrier (perhaps, time-dependent) and American options written on the underlying stock which follows a time-dependent OU process with a log-normal drift. This model is equivalent…
This paper deals with a stochastic order-driven market model with waiting costs, for order books with heterogenous traders. Offer and demand of liquidity drives price formation and traders anticipate future evolutions of the order book. The…
We consider a positive stationary generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process \[V_t=\mathrm{e}^{-\xi_t}\biggl(\int_0^t\mathrm{e}^{\xi_{s-}}\ ,\mathrm{d}\eta_s+V_0\biggr)\qquadfor t\geq0,\] and the increments of the integrated generalized…
We study the stochastic growth process in discrete time $x_{i+1} = (1 + \mu_i) x_i$ with growth rate $\mu_i = \rho e^{Z_i - \frac12 var(Z_i)}$ proportional to the exponential of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (O-U) process $dZ_t = - \gamma Z_t dt +…
The pricing of financial derivatives, which requires massive calculations and close-to-real-time operations under many trading and arbitrage scenarios, were largely infeasible in the past. However, with the advancement of modern computing,…
We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties commonly exhibited by financial time…
We study the problem of generating synthetic time series that reproduce both marginal distributions and temporal dynamics, a central challenge in financial machine learning. Existing approaches typically fail to jointly model drift and…
While short-range dependence is widely assumed in the literature for its simplicity, long-range dependence is a feature that has been observed in data from finance, hydrology, geophysics and economics. In this paper, we extend a…
This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t}…
This study proposes a fast exact simulation scheme for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck driven stochastic volatility model. With the Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions, the stochastic volatility path (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process) is expressed as a sine…
Physics, chemistry, biology or finance are just some examples out of the many fields where complex Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes have various applications in statistical modelling. They play role e.g. in the description of the motion of…
We develop a framework for stochastic portfolio theory (SPT), which incorporates modern nonlinear price impact and impact decay models. Our main result is the derivation of the celebrated master formula for additive functional generation of…
We derive an equation to compute directly the expected occupation time of the centered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This allows us to identify the parameters of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for available occupation times via a standard…
A general method to construct recombinant tree approximations for stochastic volatility models is developed and applied to the Heston model for stock price dynamics. In this application, the resulting approximation is a four tuple Markov…