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Growth rate of a stochastic growth process driven by an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

Probability 2022-09-07 v1 Mathematical Physics math.MP

Abstract

We study the stochastic growth process in discrete time xi+1=(1+μi)xix_{i+1} = (1 + \mu_i) x_i with growth rate μi=ρeZi12var(Zi)\mu_i = \rho e^{Z_i - \frac12 var(Z_i)} proportional to the exponential of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (O-U) process dZt=γZtdt+σdWtdZ_t = - \gamma Z_t dt + \sigma dW_t sampled on a grid of uniformly spaced times {ti}i=0n\{t_i\}_{i=0}^n with time step τ\tau. Using large deviation theory methods we compute the asymptotic growth rate (Lyapunov exponent) λ=limn1nlogE[xn]\lambda = \lim_{n\to \infty} \frac{1}{n} \log \mathbb{E}[x_n]. We show that this limit exists, under appropriate scaling of the O-U parameters, and can be expressed as the solution of a variational problem. The asymptotic growth rate is related to the thermodynamical pressure of a one-dimensional lattice gas with attractive exponential potentials. For ZtZ_t a stationary O-U process the lattice gas coincides with a system considered previously by Kac and Helfand. We derive upper and lower bounds on λ\lambda. In the large mean-reversion limit γnτ1\gamma n \tau \gg 1 the two bounds converge and the growth rate is given by a lattice version of the van der Waals equation of state. The predictions are tested against numerical simulations of the stochastic growth model.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2106.11874,
  title  = {Growth rate of a stochastic growth process driven by an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process},
  author = {Dan Pirjol},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.11874},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

24 pages, 3 figures