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Neural Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have emerged as the primary framework for predicting sequences of events that occur at irregular time intervals, but their sequential nature can hamper performance for long-horizon forecasts. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Mai Zeng , Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Autoregressive neural networks within the temporal point process (TPP) framework have become the standard for modeling continuous-time event data. Even though these models can expressively capture event sequences in a one-step-ahead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 David Lüdke , Marin Biloš , Oleksandr Shchur , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

The scope of this paper is generative modeling through diffusion processes. An approach falling within this paradigm is the work of Song et al. (2021), which relies on a time-reversal argument to construct a diffusion process targeting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Stefano Peluchetti

Continuous-time event sequences, in which events occur at irregular intervals, are ubiquitous across a wide range of industrial and scientific domains. The contemporary modeling paradigm is to treat such data as realizations of a temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Padhraic Smyth

In this work, we propose \texttt{TimeGrad}, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Kashif Rasul , Calvin Seward , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf

This work introduces a novel approach to modeling temporal point processes using diffusion models with an asynchronous noise schedule. At each step of the diffusion process, the noise schedule injects noise of varying scales into different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Amartya Mukherjee , Ruizhi Deng , He Zhao , Yuzhen Mao , Leonid Sigal , Frederick Tung

Recently, denoising diffusion models have led to significant breakthroughs in the generation of images, audio and text. However, it is still an open question on how to adapt their strong modeling ability to model time series. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Lifeng Shen , James Kwok

Modeling long horizon marked event sequences is a fundamental challenge in many real-world applications, including healthcare, finance, and user behavior modeling. Existing neural temporal point process models are typically autoregressive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Xiao Shou

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

Self-supervised learning has garnered increasing attention in time series analysis for benefiting various downstream tasks and reducing reliance on labeled data. Despite its effectiveness, existing methods often struggle to comprehensively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Daoyu Wang , Mingyue Cheng , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Diffusion models, a family of generative models based on deep learning, have become increasingly prominent in cutting-edge machine learning research. With a distinguished performance in generating samples that resemble the observed data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Lequan Lin , Zhengkun Li , Ruikun Li , Xuliang Li , Junbin Gao

Event-based video reconstruction has garnered increasing attention due to its advantages, such as high dynamic range and rapid motion capture capabilities. However, current methods often prioritize the extraction of temporal information…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Lin Zhu , Yunlong Zheng , Yijun Zhang , Xiao Wang , Lizhi Wang , Hua Huang

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

This study introduces a novel point-wise diffusion model that processes spatio-temporal points independently to efficiently predict complex physical systems with shape variations. This methodological contribution lies in applying forward…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-08-05 Jiyong Kim , Sunwoong Yang , Namwoo Kang

Diffusion models have recently shown promise in time series forecasting, particularly for probabilistic predictions. However, they often fail to achieve state-of-the-art point estimation performance compared to regression-based methods.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Hang Ding , Xue Wang , Tian Zhou , Tao Yao

Forecasting a typical object's future motion is a critical task for interpreting and interacting with dynamic environments in computer vision. Event-based sensors, which could capture changes in the scene with exceptional temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Song Wu , Zhiyu Zhu , Junhui Hou , Guangming Shi , Jinjian Wu

Diffusion-based language models (dLLMs) have emerged as a promising alternative to autoregressive language models, offering the potential for parallel token generation and bidirectional context modeling. However, harnessing this flexibility…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jiyeon Kim , Sungik Choi , Yongrae Jo , Moontae Lee , Minjoon Seo

The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan
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