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Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-15 Farbod Alinezhad , Jianfei Cao , Gary J. Young , Brady Post

This paper addresses the challenge of text-conditioned streaming motion generation, which requires us to predict the next-step human pose based on variable-length historical motions and incoming texts. Existing methods struggle to achieve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Lixing Xiao , Shunlin Lu , Huaijin Pi , Ke Fan , Liang Pan , Yueer Zhou , Ziyong Feng , Xiaowei Zhou , Sida Peng , Jingbo Wang

Denoising diffusion models are a powerful type of generative models used to capture complex distributions of real-world signals. However, their applicability is limited to scenarios where training samples are readily available, which is not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Ayush Tewari , Tianwei Yin , George Cazenavette , Semon Rezchikov , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Frédo Durand , William T. Freeman , Vincent Sitzmann

Deep generative models have emerged as promising tools for detecting arbitrary anomalies in data, dispensing with the necessity for manual labelling. Recently, autoregressive transformers have achieved state-of-the-art performance for…

Existing long-term video prediction methods often rely on an autoregressive video prediction mechanism. However, this approach suffers from error propagation, particularly in distant future frames. To address this limitation, this paper…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Woonho Ko , Jin Bok Park , Il Yong Chun

We propose self-diffusion, a novel framework for solving inverse problems without relying on pretrained generative models. Traditional diffusion-based approaches require training a model on a clean dataset to learn to reverse the forward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Guanxiong Luo , Shoujin Huang , Yanlong Yang

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

A convolutional encoder-decoder-based transformer model is proposed for autoregressively training on spatio-temporal data of turbulent flows. The prediction of future fluid flow fields is based on the previously predicted fluid flow field…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-31 Aakash Patil , Jonathan Viquerat , Elie Hachem

Human activities generate various event sequences such as taxi trip records, bike-sharing pick-ups, crime occurrence, and infectious disease transmission. The point process is widely used in many applications to predict such events related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Yoshiaki Takimoto , Yusuke Tanaka , Tomoharu Iwata , Maya Okawa , Hideaki Kim , Hiroyuki Toda , Takeshi Kurashima

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Diffusion models offer stable training and state-of-the-art performance for deep generative modeling tasks. Here, we consider their use in the context of multivariate subsurface modeling and probabilistic inversion. We first demonstrate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Roberto Miele , Niklas Linde

We propose a novel denoising diffusion generative model for predicting nonlinear fluid fields named FluidDiff. By performing a diffusion process, the model is able to learn a complex representation of the high-dimensional dynamic system,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Gefan Yang , Stefan Sommer

Accident anticipation is essential for proactive and safe autonomous driving, where even a brief advance warning can enable critical evasive actions. However, two key challenges hinder real-world deployment: (1) noisy or degraded sensory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Xingcheng Liu , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Chengyue Wang , Haicheng Liao , Jiaxun Zhang , Chengyu Lin , Meixin Zhu , Zhenning Li

We introduce a model-agnostic forward diffusion process for time-series forecasting that decomposes signals into spectral components, preserving structured temporal patterns such as seasonality more effectively than standard diffusion.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Francisco Caldas , Sahil Kumar , Cláudia Soares

Predicting pedestrian motion trajectories is critical for the path planning and motion control of autonomous vehicles. Recent diffusion-based models have shown promising results in capturing the inherent stochasticity of pedestrian behavior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Yu Liu , Zhijie Liu , Xiao Ren , You-Fu Li , He Kong

Neural diffusion processes provide a scalable, non-Gaussian approach to modelling distributions over functions, but existing formulations are limited to single-task inference and do not capture dependencies across related tasks. In many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Joseph Rawson , Domniki Ladopoulou , Petros Dellaportas

The exploration of high-speed movement by robots or road traffic agents is crucial for autonomous driving and navigation. Trajectory prediction at high speeds requires considering historical features and interactions with surrounding…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Ruoyu Wang , Yuanjiang Cao , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Time series forecasting is vital in diverse sectors such as energy and transportation, where non-stationary dynamics are deeply intertwined with external events in other modalities such as texts. However, incorporating natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yunfeng Ge , Ming Jin , Yiji Zhao , Hongyan Li , Bo Du , Chang Xu , Shirui Pan

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey