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We propose a semi-partitioned Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) framework for analyzing longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates, within a marginal modeling paradigm. This approach addresses limitations of both aggregated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Niloofar Ramezani , Jeffrey R. Wilson

Disease progression modeling provides a robust framework to identify long-term disease trajectories from short-term biomarker data. It is a valuable tool to gain a deeper understanding of diseases with a long disease trajectory, such as…

Unraveling the dynamical motions of biomolecules is essential for bridging their structure and function, yet it remains a major computational challenge. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulation provides a detailed depiction of biomolecular…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-17 Allan dos Santos Costa , Manvitha Ponnapati , Dana Rubin , Tess Smidt , Joseph Jacobson

Background: The most widely used approach to joint modelling of repeated measurement and time to event data is to combine a linear Gaussian random effects model for the repeated measurements with a log-Gaussian frailty model for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-12 Elisabeth Waldmann , David Taylor-Robinson

Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jinglin Li , Jun Tan , QI Fang , Ning Gui

Accurate epidemic forecasting is a critical task in controlling disease transmission. Many deep learning-based models focus only on static or dynamic graphs when constructing spatial information, ignoring their relationship. Additionally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Junkai Mao , Yuexing Han , Gouhei Tanaka , Bing Wang

Chronic diseases are long-lasting conditions that require lifelong medical attention. Using big EMR data, we have developed early disease risk prediction models for five common chronic diseases: diabetes, hypertension, CKD, COPD, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Muddassar Farooq

In epidemiological and clinical studies, identifying patients' phenotypes based on longitudinal profiles is critical to understanding the disease's developmental patterns. The current study was motivated by data from a Canadian birth cohort…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Zhiwen Tan , Chang Shen , Padmaja Subbarao , Wendy Lou , Zihang Lu

When machine learning systems meet real world applications, accuracy is only one of several requirements. In this paper, we assay a complementary perspective originating from the increasing availability of pre-trained and regularly…

Multi-stage disease histories derived from longitudinal data are becoming increasingly available as registry data and biobanks expand. Multi-state models are suitable to investigate transitions between different disease stages in presence…

Many rare diseases offer limited established treatment options, leading patients to switch therapies when new medications emerge. To analyze the impact of such treatment switches within the low sample size limitations of rare disease…

A variety of real-world processes (over networks) produce sequences of data whose complex temporal dynamics need to be studied. More especially, the event timestamps can carry important information about the underlying network dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Shuai Xiao , Junchi Yan , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Le Song , Xiaokang Yang , Hongyuan Zha

The inherent complexity of structured longitudinal Electronic Health Records (EHR) data poses a significant challenge when integrated with Large Language Models (LLMs), which are traditionally tailored for natural language processing.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Yinghao Zhu , Zixiang Wang , Junyi Gao , Yuning Tong , Jingkun An , Weibin Liao , Ewen M. Harrison , Liantao Ma , Chengwei Pan

Mixed Models for Repeated Measures (MMRMs) are ubiquitous when analyzing outcomes of clinical trials. However, the linearity of the fixed-effect structure in these models largely restrict their use to estimating treatment effects that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Lars Lau Raket

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition that seriously endangers millions of people over the world. Hopefully, with the widespread availability of electronic health records (EHR), predictive models that can effectively deal with clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Luchen Liu , Haoxian Wu , Zichang Wang , Zequn Liu , Ming Zhang

Intensive longitudinal data, characterized by frequent measurements across numerous time points, are increasingly common due to advances in wearable devices and mobile health technologies. We consider evaluating causal mediation pathways…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Tianchen Qian

Intensive longitudinal biomarker data are increasingly common in scientific studies that seek temporally granular understanding of the role of behavioral and physiological factors in relation to outcomes of interest. Intensive longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Mingyan Yu , Zhenke Wu , Margaret Hicken , Michael R. Elliott

The joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes has become a popular tool in follow-up studies. However, fitting Bayesian joint models to large datasets, such as patient registries, can require extended computing times. To…

New coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has constituted a global pandemic and has spread to most countries and regions in the world. By understanding the development trend of a regional epidemic, the epidemic can be controlled using the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Bingjie Yan , Xiangyan Tang , Boyi Liu , Jun Wang , Yize Zhou , Guopeng Zheng , Qi Zou , Yao Lu , Wenxuan Tu