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Composite endpoints that combine recurrent non-fatal events with a terminal event are increasingly used in randomized clinical trials, yet conventional time-to-first event analyses may obscure clinically relevant information. We compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Adrien Orué , Derek Dinart , Laurent Billot , Carine Bellera , Virginie Rondeau

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant public health challenge, often progressing to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) if not detected and managed early. Early intervention, warranted by silent disease progression, can significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Zachary Dana , Ahmed Ammar Naseer , Botros Toro , Sumanth Swaminathan

Joint models are used in ageing studies to investigate the association between longitudinal markers and a time-to-event, and have been extended to multiple markers and/or competing risks. The competing risk of death must be considered in…

In real-time forecasting in public health, data collection is a non-trivial and demanding task. Often after initially released, it undergoes several revisions later (maybe due to human or technical constraints) - as a result, it may take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Alexander Rodríguez , B. Aditya Prakash

Accurate and interpretable prediction of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is essential for managing chronic kidney disease (CKD) and supporting clinical decisions. Recent advances in Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Peng-Yi Wu , Pei-Cing Huang , Ting-Yu Chen , Chantung Ku , Ming-Yen Lin , Yihuang Kang

Introduction: Heterogeneity of the progression of neurodegenerative diseases is one of the main challenges faced in developing effective therapies. With the increasing number of large clinical databases, disease progression models have led…

In many supervised learning applications, the response consists of both continuous and binary outcomes. Studies have shown that jointly modeling such mixed-type responses can substantially improve predictive performance compared to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Wang , Ran Jin , Lulu Kang

Longitudinal studies are often subject to missing data. The ICH E9(R1) addendum addresses the importance of defining a treatment effect estimand with the consideration of intercurrent events. Jump-to-reference (J2R) is one classically…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Siyi Liu , Shu Yang , Yilong Zhang , Guanghan , Liu

Objective: To improve prediction of Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) progression to End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) using machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models applied to an integrated clinical and claims dataset of varying…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-06 Yubo Li , Rema Padman

There is growing interest in the role of within-individual variability (WIV) in biomarker trajectories for assessing disease risk and progression. A trajectory-based definition that has attracted recent attention characterises WIV as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Sida Chen , Jessica K. Barrett , Marco Palma , Jianxin Pan , Brian D. M. Tom

Biomechanics and human movement research often involves measuring multiple kinematic or kinetic variables regularly throughout a movement, yielding data that present as smooth, multivariate, time-varying curves and are naturally amenable to…

In different areas of research, multiple recurrent competing risks (RCR) are often observed on the same observational unit. For instance, different types of cancer relapses are observed on the same patient and several types of component…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Piaomu Liu

The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan

This article considers the joint modeling of longitudinal covariates and partly-interval censored time-to-event data. Longitudinal time-varying covariates play a crucial role in obtaining accurate clinically relevant predictions using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Annabel Webb , Nan Zou , Serigne Lo , Jun Ma

In longitudinal studies using routinely collected data, such as electronic health records (EHRs), patients tend to have more measurements when they are unwell; this informative observation pattern may lead to bias. While semi-parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Rose Garrett , Brian Feldman , Eleanor Pullenayegum

The integration of longitudinal measurements and survival time in statistical modeling offers a powerful framework for capturing the interplay between these two essential outcomes, particularly when they exhibit associations. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Taban Baghfalaki , Mojtaba Ganjali , Rui Martins

We consider a joint survival and mixed-effects model to explain the survival time from longitudinal data and high-dimensional covariates in a population. The longitudinal data is modeled using a non linear mixed-effects model to account for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Antoine Caillebotte , Estelle Kuhn , Sarah Lemler

Accurate motion prediction of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of automated vehicles in dynamic environments. Marginal prediction models commonly forecast each agent's future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Fabian Konstantinidis , Ariel Dallari Guerreiro , Raphael Trumpp , Moritz Sackmann , Ulrich Hofmann , Marco Caccamo , Christoph Stiller

Observational data in medicine arise as a result of the complex interaction between patients and the healthcare system. The sampling process is often highly irregular and itself constitutes an informative process. When using such data to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Vincent Jeanselme , Glen Martin , Niels Peek , Matthew Sperrin , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimation (LTMLE) has very rarely been used to estimate dynamic treatment effects in the context of time-dependent confounding affected by prior treatment when faced with long follow-up times,…