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Multi-object state estimation is a fundamental problem for robotic applications where a robot must interact with other moving objects. Typically, other objects' relevant state features are not directly observable, and must instead be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Angad Singh , Omar Makhlouf , Maximilian Igl , Joao Messias , Arnaud Doucet , Shimon Whiteson

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

Particle filtering is used to compute good nonlinear estimates of complex systems. It samples trajectories from a chosen distribution and computes the estimate as a weighted average. Easy-to-sample distributions often lead to degenerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Richard G. Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

Efficiently solving the Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) is crucial for understanding the probabilistic evolution of stochastic particles in dynamical systems, however, analytical solutions or density functions are only attainable in specific…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-03-13 Xiaolong Wang , Jing Feng , Gege Wang , Tong Li , Yong Xu

We introduce and analyze a method of learning-informed parameter identification for partial differential equations (PDEs) in an all-at-once framework. The underlying PDE model is formulated in a rather general setting with three unknowns:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-25 Christian Aarset , Martin Holler , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

We wish to compute the gradient of an expectation over a finite or countably infinite sample space having $K \leq \infty$ categories. When $K$ is indeed infinite, or finite but very large, the relevant summation is intractable. Accordingly,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-14 Runjing Liu , Jeffrey Regier , Nilesh Tripuraneni , Michael I. Jordan , Jon McAuliffe

Complex dynamic systems can be investigated by fitting mechanistic stochastic dynamic models to time series data. In this context, commonly used Monte Carlo inference procedures for model selection and parameter estimation quickly become…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-24 Jesse Wheeler , Aaron J. Abkemeier , Edward L. Ionides

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) offer powerful and accessible mathematical models for capturing both deterministic and probabilistic aspects of dynamic behavior across a wide range of physical, financial, and social systems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Paromita Banerjee , Anirban Mondal

We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is low or degenerate. We focus on the case where the observation equation is a linear function of the state and the data involve additive noise.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

In this paper, we introduce an adaptive kernel method for solving the optimal filtering problem. The computational framework that we adopt is the Bayesian filter, in which we recursively generate an optimal estimate for the state of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Zezhong Zhang , Richard Archibald , Feng Bao

In this work, we systematically benchmark two recently developed deep density methods for nonlinear filtering. We model the filtering density of a discretely observed stochastic differential equation through the associated Fokker--Planck…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kasper Bågmark , Filip Rydin

The development of mechanistic models of biological systems is a central part of Systems Biology. One major task in developing these models is the inference of the correct model parameters. Due to the size of most realistic models and their…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-28 Jan Mikelson , Mustafa Khammash

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

Numerical resolution of high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs remains a huge challenge due to the curse of dimensionality. Starting from the weak formulation of the Lawson-Euler scheme, this paper proposes a stochastic particle method (SPM) by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Zhengyang Lei , Sihong Shao , Yunfeng Xiong

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has recently emerged as a powerful technique for improving image and video generation in Diffusion and Flow Matching models, specifically for enhancing output quality and alignment with prompts. A critical step…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Feng Wang , Zihao Yu

This paper presents two schemes to jointly estimate parameters and states of discrete-time nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded disturbances and noise and where the parameters belong to a known compact set. The schemes are based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 T. J. Meijer , V. S. Dolk , M. S. Chong , R. Postoyan , B. de Jager , D. Nešić , W. P. M. H. Heemels

This paper presents range-based 6-DoF Monte Carlo SLAM with a gradient-guided particle update strategy. While non-parametric state estimation methods, such as particle filters, are robust in situations with high ambiguity, they are known to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Takumi Nakao , Kenji Koide , Aoki Takanose , Shuji Oishi , Masashi Yokozuka , Hisashi Date

Particle filtering algorithms have enabled practical solutions to problems in autonomous robotics (self-driving cars, UAVs, warehouse robots), target tracking, and econometrics, with further applications in speech processing and medicine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Orestis Kaparounakis , Yunqi Zhang , Phillip Stanley-Marbell

The state estimation problem for nonlinear systems with stochastic uncertainties can be formulated in the Bayesian framework, where the objective is to replace the state completely by its probability density function. Without the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Lukas Ecker , Kurt Schlacher