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Particle Marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) is a general approach to Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable, but can be estimated unbiasedly. Our article develops an efficient PMMH method that scales up better to higher…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-10 David Gunawan , Pratiti Chatterjee , Robert Kohn

This paper details how to parameterize the posterior distribution of state-space systems to generate improved optimization problems for system identification using variational inference. Three different parameterizations of the assumed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

We report a multiscale approach of broad applicability to stochastic reconstruction of multiphase materials, including porous ones. The approach devised uses an optimization method, such as the simulated annealing (SA) and the so-called…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-11-13 R. Piasecki , W. Olchawa , D. Frączek , R. Wiśniowski

We consider state and parameter estimation in multiple target tracking problems with data association uncertainties and unknown number of targets. We show how the problem can be recast into a conditionally linear Gaussian state-space model…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-05 Juho Kokkala , Simo Särkkä

This paper is concerned with sequential state filtering in the presence of nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and model uncertainty. For this problem, the Bayesian model averaged particle filter (BMAPF) is perhaps one of the most efficient…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-28 Bin Liu

Rejuvenation in particle filters is necessary to prevent the collapse of the weights when the number of particles is insufficient to sample the high probability regions of the state space. Rejuvenation is often implemented in a heuristic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Andrey A Popov , Amit N Subrahmanya , Adrian Sandu

In the past few decades, the development of fluorescent technologies and microscopic techniques has greatly improved scientists' ability to observe real-time single-cell activities. In this paper, we consider the filtering problem associate…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Zhou Fang , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

In this technical note, a recursive set-membership filtering algorithm for discrete-time nonlinear dynamical systems subject to unknown but bounded process and measurement noises is proposed. The nonlinear dynamics is represented in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Diganta Bhattacharjee , Kamesh Subbarao

This study examines the characterization of binary star systems using Spectral Energy Distributions (SEDs), a technique increasingly essential with the rise of large-scale astronomical surveys. Binaries can emit flux at different regions of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-20 Vikrant V. Jadhav

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

A wide variety of phenomena of engineering and scientific interest are of a continuous-time nature and can be modeled by stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which represent the evolution of the uncertainty in the states of a system.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Dimas Abreu Dutra

In this paper, we develop the mathematical framework for filtering problems arising from biophysical applications where data is collected from confocal laser scanning microscopy recordings of the space-time evolution of intracellular wave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Jan Szalankiewicz , Cristina Martinez-Torres , Wilhelm Stannat

Deep learning is a powerful tool to represent subgrid processes in climate models, but many application cases have so far used idealized settings and deterministic approaches. Here, we develop stochastic parameterizations with calibrated…

Mathematical modelling has become an established tool for studying the dynamics of biological systems. Current applications range from building models that reproduce quantitative data to identifying systems with predefined qualitative…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 Carsten Conradi , Elisenda Feliu , Maya Mincheva , Carsten Wiuf

We investigate the use of possibly the simplest scheme for the parallelisation of the standard particle filter, that consists in splitting the computational budget into $M$ fully independent particle filters with $N$ particles each, and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-12 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez , Gonzalo Rios

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

As a concrete setting where stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are able to model real phenomena, we propose a stochastic Meinhardt model for cell repolarisation and study how parameter estimation techniques developed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Randolf Altmeyer , Till Bretschneider , Josef Janák , Markus Reiß

In order to numerically solve high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs and alleviate the curse of dimensionality, a stochastic particle method (SPM) has been proposed to capture the relevant feature of the solution through the adaptive evolution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Jingyang Huang , Zhengyang Lei , Sihong Shao

The paper presents a new sampling methodology for Bayesian networks that samples only a subset of variables and applies exact inference to the rest. Cutset sampling is a network structure-exploiting application of the Rao-Blackwellisation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-13 B. Bidyuk , R. Dechter

A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan