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This paper explores a Bayesian self-organization method for state-space models, enabling simultaneous state and parameter estimation without repeated likelihood calculations. While efficient for low-dimensional models, high-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-26 Genshiro Kitagawa

We present a filtering framework for online joint state estimation and parameter identification in nonlinear, time-varying systems. The algorithm uses Rao-Blackwellization technique to infer joint state-parameter posteriors efficiently. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Milad Banitalebi Dehkordi , Manas Mejari , Dario Piga

Simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) is the task of building a map representation of an unknown environment while at the same time using it for positioning. A probabilistic interpretation of the SLAM task allows for incorporating…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Manon Kok , Arno Solin , Thomas B. Schön

Poyiadjis et al. (2011) show how particle methods can be used to estimate both the score and the observed information matrix for state space models. These methods either suffer from a computational cost that is quadratic in the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-07 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Particle filters (PFs) are powerful sampling-based inference/learning algorithms for dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs). They allow us to treat, in a principled way, any type of probability distribution, nonlinearity and non-stationarity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Arnaud Doucet , Nando de Freitas , Kevin Murphy , Stuart Russell

The Markov modulated (switching) state space is an important model paradigm in applied statistics. In this article, we specifically consider Markov modulated nonlinear state-space models and address the online Bayesian inference problem for…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-27 Saikat Saha , Gustaf Hendeby

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, such as the particle filter, are by now one of the standard computational techniques for addressing the filtering problem in general state-space models. However, many applications require…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Fredrik Lindsten , Pete Bunch , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön , Simon J. Godsill

Learning-based methods commonly treat state estimation in robotics as a sequence modeling problem. While this paradigm can be effective at maximizing end-to-end performance, models are often difficult to interpret and expensive to train,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Lennart Röstel , Berthold Bäuml

Stochastic parameterizations are increasingly being used to represent the uncertainty associated with model errors in ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. One of the challenges associated with the use of these parameterizations is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-23 Guillermo Scheffler , Juan Ruiz , Manuel Pulido

Smoothing in state-space models amounts to computing the conditional distribution of the latent state trajectory, given observations, or expectations of functionals of the state trajectory with respect to this distributions. For models that…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-10 Jimmy Olsson , Tobias Rydén

Due to the limitations of the robotic sensors, during a robotic manipulation task, the acquisition of the object's state can be unreliable and noisy. Combining an accurate model of multi-body dynamic system with Bayesian filtering methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Shuai Li , Siwei Lyu , Jeff Trinkle

This study proposes a centimeter-accurate positioning method that utilizes a Rao-Blackwellized particle filter (RBPF) without requiring integer ambiguity resolution in global navigation satellite system (GNSS) carrier phase measurements.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Daiki Niimi , An Fujino , Taro Suzuki , Junichi Meguro

In this manuscript the fixed-lag smoothing problem for conditionally linear Gaussian state-space models is investigated from a factor graph perspective. More specifically, after formulating Bayesian smoothing for an arbitrary state-space…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-23 Giorgio M. Vitetta , Emilio Sirignano , Francesco Montorsi

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) serve as a powerful modeling tool in various scientific domains, including systems science, engineering, and ecological science. While the specific form of SDEs is typically known for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Xin Cai , Jingyu Yang , Zhibao Li , Hongqiao Wang , Miao Huang

We introduce a dynamic mechanism for the solution of analytically-tractable substructure in probabilistic programs, using conjugate priors and affine transformations to reduce variance in Monte Carlo estimators. For inference with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-22 Lawrence M. Murray , Daniel Lundén , Jan Kudlicka , David Broman , Thomas B. Schön

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) provide a structured framework for decision-making under uncertainty, but their application requires efficient belief updates. Sequential Importance Resampling Particle Filters…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Jiho Lee , Nisar R. Ahmed , Kyle H. Wray , Zachary N. Sunberg

In this paper, a dual estimation methodology is developed for both time-varying parameters and states of a nonlinear stochastic system based on the Particle Filtering (PF) scheme. Our developed methodology is based on a concurrent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Najmeh Daroogheh , Nader Meskin , Khashayar Khorasani

On-line estimation plays an important role in process control and monitoring. Obtaining a theoretical solution to the simultaneous state-parameter estimation problem for non-linear stochastic systems involves solving complex…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

In this work, we propose a new method to track extended targets of different shapes such as ellipses, rectangles and rhombi. We provide an analytical framework to express these shapes as superelliptical contours and propose a Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-04 Oğul Can Yurdakul , Mehmet Çetinkaya , Enescan Çelebi , Emre Özkan

This paper addresses the challenging problem of parameter estimation in bilinear systems under colored noise. A novel approach, termed B-PF-RLS, is proposed, combining a particle filter (PF) with a recursive least squares (RLS) estimator.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-20 Khalid Abd El Mageed Hag Elamin
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