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We consider the task of predicting a response Y from a set of covariates X in settings where the conditional distribution of Y given X changes over time. For this to be feasible, assumptions on how the conditional distribution changes over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Margherita Lazzaretto , Jonas Peters , Niklas Pfister

We introduce a framework for representing a variety of interesting problems as inference over the execution of probabilistic model programs. We represent a "solution" to such a problem as a guide program which runs alongside the model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-06-08 Georges Harik , Noam Shazeer

Stochastic variational inequalities (SVI) provide a means for modeling various optimization and equilibrium problems where data are subject to uncertainty. Often it is necessary to estimate the true SVI solution by the solution of a sample…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-27 Michael Lamm , Shu Lu , Amarjit Budhiraja

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) has been introduced to expand the analytical variational families by defining expressive semi-implicit distributions in a hierarchical manner. However, the single-layer architecture commonly used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Longlin Yu , Tianyu Xie , Yu Zhu , Tong Yang , Xiangyu Zhang , Cheng Zhang

The expressiveness of flow-based models combined with stochastic variational inference (SVI) has expanded the application of optimization-based Bayesian inference to highly complex problems. However, despite the importance of multi-model…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Laurence Davies , Dan Mackinlay , Rafael Oliveira , Scott A. Sisson

Probabilistic programming is the idea of writing models from statistics and machine learning using program notations and reasoning about these models using generic inference engines. Recently its combination with deep learning has been…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Wonyeol Lee , Hangyeol Yu , Xavier Rival , Hongseok Yang

In this paper, we introduce and study a stochastic differential variational inequality (SDVI) which consists of a stochastic differential equation and a stochastic variational inequality. We obtain the existence and uniqueness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yao-Jia Zhang , Tao Chen , Nan-jing Huang , Xue-song Li

In this work, we propose a new stochastic domain decomposition method for solving steady-state partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. Based on the efficiency of the Variable-separation (VS) method in simulating stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Liang Chen , Yaru Chen , Qiuqi Li , Zhiwen Zhang

The automation of probabilistic reasoning is one of the primary aims of machine learning. Recently, the confluence of variational inference and deep learning has led to powerful and flexible automatic inference methods that can be trained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-10 Luca Ambrogioni , Gianluigi Silvestri , Marcel van Gerven

This paper is about how to partition decision variables while decomposing a large-scale optimization problem for the best performance of distributed solution methods. Solving a large-scale optimization problem sequen- tially can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-26 Yuchen Zheng , Ilbin Lee , Nicoleta Serban

We present a new algorithm for approximate inference in probabilistic programs, based on a stochastic gradient for variational programs. This method is efficient without restrictions on the probabilistic program; it is particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-08 David Wingate , Theophane Weber

Recently, particle-based variational inference (ParVI) methods have gained interest because they can avoid arbitrary parametric assumptions that are common in variational inference. However, many ParVI approaches do not allow arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Neale Ratzlaff , Qinxun Bai , Li Fuxin , Wei Xu

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Probabilistic state estimation is essential for robots navigating uncertain environments. Accurately and efficiently managing uncertainty in estimated states is key to robust robotic operation. However, nonlinearities in robotic platforms…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Min-Won Seo , Solmaz S. Kia

Variational inference has experienced a recent surge in popularity owing to stochastic approaches, which have yielded practical tools for a wide range of model classes. A key benefit is that stochastic variational inference obviates the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Tobias Plötz , Anne S. Wannenwetsch , Stefan Roth

Research on Symbolic Probabilistic Inference (SPI) [2, 3] has provided an algorithm for resolving general queries in Bayesian networks. SPI applies the concept of dependency directed backward search to probabilistic inference, and is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Kuo-Chu Chang , Robert Fung

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

The problem of covariate-shift generalization has attracted intensive research attention. Previous stable learning algorithms employ sample reweighting schemes to decorrelate the covariates when there is no explicit domain information about…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Han Yu , Peng Cui , Yue He , Zheyan Shen , Yong Lin , Renzhe Xu , Xingxuan Zhang

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a framework for performing likelihood-free posterior inference for simulation models. Stochastic Variational inference (SVI) is an appealing alternative to the inefficient sampling approaches…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-29 Alexander Moreno , Tameem Adel , Edward Meeds , James M. Rehg , Max Welling

Bayesian inference has become an important tool to solve inverse problems and to quantify uncertainties in their solutions. Variational inference is a method that provides probabilistic, Bayesian solutions efficiently by using optimization.…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-15 Xin Zhang , Andrew Curtis