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Mechanisms of immunity, and of the host-pathogen interactions in general are among the most fundamental problems of medicine, ecology, and evolution studies. Here, we present a microscopic, protein-level, sequence-based model of immune…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-22 Muyoung Heo , Konstantin B. Zeldovich , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

We consider a spatial stochastic model for a pathogen population growing inside a host that attempts to eliminate the pathogens through its immune system. The pathogen population is divided into different types. A pathogen can either…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Fábio Lopes , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

A stochastic model for the growth of a virus in a cell population is introduced. The virus has two ways of spreading: either by allowing its host cell to live on and duplicate, or else by multiplying in large numbers within the host cell…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-30 Jakob E. Björnberg , Tom Britton , Erik I. Broman , Eviatar Natan

The theory of life history evolution provides a powerful framework to understand the evolutionary dynamics of pathogens in both epidemic and endemic situations. This framework, however, relies on the assumption that pathogen populations are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-28 Todd Parsons , Amaury Lambert , Troy Day , Sylvain Gandon

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

In this work we have investigated the evolutionary dynamics of a generalist pathogen, e.g. a virus population, that evolves towards specialisation in an environment with multiple host types. We have particularly explored under which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Anel Nurtay , Matthew G. Hennessy , Lluís Alsedà , Santiago F. Elena , Josep Sardanyés

Biological processes at the cellular level are stochastic in nature, and the immune response system is no different. Therefore, models that attempt to explain this system need to also incorporate noise or fluctuations that can account for…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-16 Abhilasha Batra , Rati Sharma

We investigate a stochastic individual-based model for the population dynamics of host-virus systems where the microbial hosts may transition into a dormant state upon contact with virions, thus evading infection. Such a contact-mediated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-07 Jochen Blath , András Tóbiás

Among various possible causes of autoimmune disease, an important role is played by infections that can result in a breakdown of immune tolerance, primarily through the mechanism of "molecular mimicry". In this paper we propose and analyse…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-21 F. Fatehi , S. N. Kyrychko , A. Ross , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

An interesting inference drawn by some Covid-19 epidemiological models is that there exists a proportion of the population who are not susceptible to infection -- even at the start of the current pandemic. This paper introduces a model of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-18 Thomas Parr , Anjali Bhat , Peter Zeidman , Aimee Goel , Alexander J. Billig , Rosalyn Moran , Karl J. Friston

Antigenic escape constitutes the main mechanism allowing rapidly evolving viruses to achieve endemicity. Beyond granting immune escape, empirical evidence also suggests that mutations of viruses might increase their inter-host…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-20 David Soriano-Paños

Coevolutionary arms races form between interacting populations that constitute each other's environment and respond to mutual changes. This inherently far-from-equilibrium process finds striking manifestations in the adaptive immune system,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-12-18 Hongda Jiang , Shenshen Wang

How will the novel coronavirus evolve? I study a simple epidemiological model, in which mutations may change the properties of the virus and its associated disease stochastically and antigenic drifts allow new variants to partially evade…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-27 Patrick Mellacher

We study a minimal stochastic individual-based model for a microbial population challenged by a persistent (lytic) virus epidemic. We focus on the situation in which the resident microbial host population and the virus population are in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Jochen Blath , András Tóbiás

Changes in human behavior are increasingly recognized as a major determinant of epidemic dynamics. Although collective activity can be modified through imposed measures to control epidemic progression, spontaneous changes can also arise as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-25 Susanna Manrubia , Damián H. Zanette

The evolution of the adaptive immune system is characterized by changes in the relative abundances of the B- and T-cell clones that make up its repertoires. To fully capture this evolution, we need to describe the complex dynamics of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-02 Jonathan Desponds , Andreas Mayer , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission typically neglect within-host dynamics. Yet within-host dynamics - including pathogen replication, host immune responses, and interactions with microbiota - are crucial not only for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-20 Cameron A. Smith , Ben Ashby

We introduce and analyse an individual-based evolutionary model, in which a population of genetically diverse organisms compete with each other for limited resources. Through theoretical analysis and stochastic simulations, we show that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-02 Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Axel G. Rossberg

Between-species coevolution, and in particular antagonistic host-parasite coevolution, is a major process shaping within-species diversity. In this paper we investigate the role of various stochastic processes affecting the outcome of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-08 Wolfgang Stephan , Aurélien Tellier

Antagonistic coevolution between hosts and parasites can have a major impact on host population structures, and hence on the evolution of social traits. Using stochastic modelling techniques in the context of bacteria-virus interactions, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-09 Benjamin J. Z. Quigley , Diana García López , Angus Buckling , Alan J. McKane , Sam P. Brown