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In medicine, researchers often seek to infer the effects of a given treatment on patients' outcomes. However, the standard methods for causal survival analysis make simplistic assumptions about the data-generating process and cannot capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Prayag Chatha , Yixin Wang , Zhenke Wu , Jeffrey Regier

In epidemiological research, modeling the cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes presents a challenge due to their intricate temporal dynamics. Conventional spline-based statistical methods, though effective,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Kang-Chung Yang , Shinsheng Yuan

Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

There has been increasing interest in modelling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. Current approaches have focused on designing special cost functions to handle censored survival data. We propose a very different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-12 Lili Zhao , Dai Feng

The electronic health record (EHR) provides an unprecedented opportunity to build actionable tools to support physicians at the point of care. In this paper, we investigate survival analysis in the context of EHR data. We introduce deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-20 Rajesh Ranganath , Adler Perotte , Noémie Elhadad , David Blei

This article presents a novel method for predicting suicidal ideation from Electronic Health Records (EHR) and Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) data using deep sequential models. Both EHR longitudinal data and EMA question forms are…

Survival analysis is essential for studying time-to-event outcomes and providing a dynamic understanding of the probability of an event occurring over time. Various survival analysis techniques, from traditional statistical models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Ziwen Wang , Jin Wee Lee , Tanujit Chakraborty , Yilin Ning , Mingxuan Liu , Feng Xie , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Nan Liu

Survival analysis is a technique to predict the times of specific outcomes, and is widely used in predicting the outcomes for intensive care unit (ICU) trauma patients. Recently, deep learning models have drawn increasing attention in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Yun Zhao , Qinghang Hong , Xinlu Zhang , Yu Deng , Yuqing Wang , Linda Petzold

The individual data collected throughout patient follow-up constitute crucial information for assessing the risk of a clinical event, and eventually for adapting a therapeutic strategy. Joint models and landmark models have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-17 Anthony Devaux , Robin Genuer , Karine Pérès , Cécile Proust-Lima

Causal structures for observational survival data provide crucial information regarding the relationships between covariates and time-to-event. We derive motivation from the information theoretic source coding argument, and show that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Ansh Kumar Sharma , Rahul Kukreja , Ranjitha Prasad , Shilpa Rao

The abundance of modern health data provides many opportunities for the use of machine learning techniques to build better statistical models to improve clinical decision making. Predicting time-to-event distributions, also known as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu

This study advances Early Event Prediction (EEP) in healthcare through Dynamic Survival Analysis (DSA), offering a novel approach by integrating risk localization into alarm policies to enhance clinical event metrics. By adapting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Hugo Yèche , Manuel Burger , Dinara Veshchezerova , Gunnar Rätsch

Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have an increased risk of hospitalizations, strongly associated with decreased survival, yet predicting the timing of these events remains challenging and has received limited…

Scoring systems are highly interpretable and widely used to evaluate time-to-event outcomes in healthcare research. However, existing time-to-event scores are predominantly created ad-hoc using a few manually selected variables based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Feng Xie , Yilin Ning , Han Yuan , Benjamin Alan Goldstein , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Nan Liu , Bibhas Chakraborty

Electronic Health Record (EHR) systems provide critical, rich and valuable information at high frequency. One of the most exciting applications of EHR data is in developing a real-time mortality warning system with tools from survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Zhale Nowroozilarki , Arash Pakbin , James Royalty , Donald K. K. Lee , Bobak J. Mortazavi

Flexible continuous-time survival modeling is critical for capturing complex time-varying hazard dynamics in high-dimensional data; however, training such models remains challenging due to the intractable integral required for likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Chaeyeon Lee , Sehwan Kim , Hyungrok Do

We introduce NeuralSurv, the first deep survival model to incorporate Bayesian uncertainty quantification. Our non-parametric, architecture-agnostic framework captures time-varying covariate-risk relationships in continuous time via a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Mélodie Monod , Alessandro Micheli , Samir Bhatt

This study proposes a Transformer-based longitudinal modeling method to address challenges in clinical risk classification with heterogeneous Electronic Health Record (EHR) data, including irregular temporal patterns, large modality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Anzhuo Xie , Wei-Chen Chang

Integrating methods for time-to-event prediction with diagnostic imaging modalities is of considerable interest, as accurate estimates of survival requires accounting for censoring of individuals within the observation period. New methods…

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