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Conformal predictions make it possible to define reliable and robust learning algorithms. But they are essentially a method for evaluating whether an algorithm is good enough to be used in practice. To define a reliable learning framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-18 Alberto Carlevaro , Teodoro Alamo Cantarero , Fabrizio Dabbene , Maurizio Mongelli

This two-part paper presents a new approach to predictive analysis for social processes. Part I identifies a class of social processes, called positive externality processes, which are both important and difficult to predict, and introduces…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-17 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass

scida is a Python package for reading and analyzing large scientific data sets with support for various cosmological and galaxy formation simulations out-of-the-box. Data access is provided through a hierarchical dictionary-like data…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-29 Chris Byrohl , Dylan Nelson

This paper introduces the shapr R package, a versatile tool for generating Shapley value-based prediction explanations for machine learning and statistical regression models. Moreover, the shaprpy Python library brings the core capabilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Martin Jullum , Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Jon Lachmann , Annabelle Redelmeier

Conformal prediction methods are statistical tools designed to quantify uncertainty and generate predictive sets with guaranteed coverage probabilities. This work introduces an innovative refinement to these methods for classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Mohamed Hebiri , Joseph Salmon

Computational tools for data analysis are being released daily on repositories such as the Comprehensive R Archive Network. How we integrate these tools to solve a problem in research is increasingly complex and requiring frequent updates.…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-10-17 Charles T. Gray

Two new classes of skew codes over a finite field $\F$ are proposed, called skew convolutional codes and skew trellis codes. These two classes are defined by, respectively, left or right sub-modules over the skew fields of fractions of skew…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Vladimir Sidorenko , Wenhui Li , Onur Günlü , Gerhard Kramer

Computing makes up a large and growing component of data science and statistics courses. Many of those courses, especially when taught by faculty who are statisticians by training, teach R as the programming language. A number of…

We report on a course project in which students submit weekly probabilistic forecasts of two weather variables and one financial variable. This real-time format allows students to engage in practical forecasting, which requires a diverse…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-04-04 Johannes Bracher , Nils Koster , Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch

New tools are needed to handle the growth of data in astrophysics delivered by recent and upcoming surveys. We aim to build open-source, light, flexible, and interactive software designed to visualize extensive three-dimensional (3D)…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-26 M. Argudo-Fernández , S. Duarte Puertas , J. E. Ruiz , J. Sabater , S. Verley , G. Bergond

Supervised learning requires a sufficient training dataset which includes all label. However, there are cases that some class is not in the training data. Zero-Shot Learning (ZSL) is the task of predicting class that is not in the training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Toshitaka Hayashi , Hamido Fujita

Given the ubiquity of lattice models in physics, it is imperative for researchers to possess robust methods for quantifying clusters on the lattice --- whether they be Ising spins or clumps of molecules. Inspired by biophysical studies, we…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-07-24 Everest Law

In selective classification (SC), a classifier abstains from making predictions that are likely to be wrong to avoid excessive errors. To deploy imperfect classifiers -- either due to intrinsic statistical noise of data or for robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Hengyue Liang , Le Peng , Ju Sun

We present a new open-source framework for forecasting in Python. Our framework forms part of sktime, a more general machine learning toolbox for time series with scikit-learn compatible interfaces for different learning tasks. Our new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Markus Löning , Franz Király

We present an expository overview of technical and cultural challenges to the development and adoption of automation at various stages in the data science prediction lifecycle, restricting focus to supervised learning with structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Nicholas Hoell

Classifying forecasting methods as being either of a "machine learning" or "statistical" nature has become commonplace in parts of the forecasting literature and community, as exemplified by the M4 competition and the conclusion drawn by…

Classification is an important goal in many branches of mathematics. The idea is to describe the members of some class of mathematical objects, up to isomorphism or other important equivalence in terms of relatively simple invariants. Where…

Logic · Mathematics 2008-03-25 Wesley Calvert , Julia F. Knight

Self-supervised learning (SSL) has recently achieved impressive performance on various time series tasks. The most prominent advantage of SSL is that it reduces the dependence on labeled data. Based on the pre-training and fine-tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Kexin Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Rongyao Cai , Ming Jin , Yong Liu , James Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Guansong Pang , Dongjin Song , Shirui Pan

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields including meteorology, hydrology, economics, and demography. In typical applications, many alternative statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-31 Alexander Jordan , Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch

Predictive models are one of the most important techniques that are widely applied in many areas of software engineering. There have been a large number of primary studies that apply predictive models and that present well-preformed studies…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Yanming Yang , Xin Xia , David Lo , Tingting Bi , John Grundy , Xiaohu Yang