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Expected Shortfall (ES), the average loss above a high quantile, is the current financial regulatory market risk measure. Its estimation and optimization are highly unstable against sample fluctuations and become impossible above a critical…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-05 Gábor Papp , Imre Kondor , Fabio Caccioli

Traditional supervised learning aims to train a classifier in the closed-set world, where training and test samples share the same label space. In this paper, we target a more challenging and realistic setting: open-set learning (OSL),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Zhen Fang , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , Feng Liu , Guangquan Zhang

The problem of quickest change detection in a sequence of independent observations is considered. The pre-change distribution is assumed to be known, while the post-change distribution is completely unknown. A window-limited leave-one-out…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-07 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential for deploying machine learning models in open-world and safety-critical scenarios, where test inputs may deviate from the training distribution and overconfident predictions on unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Fengqiang Wan , Qing-Yuan Jiang , Yang Yang

Randomized algorithms in numerical linear algebra have proven to be effective in ameliorating issues of scalability when working with large matrices, efficiently producing accurate low-rank approximations. A key remaining challenge,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Lorenzo Lazzarino , Katherine J. Pearce , Nathaniel Pritchard

Selecting LLM-generated code candidates using LLM-generated tests is challenging because the tests themselves may be incorrect. Existing methods either treat all tests equally or rely on ad-hoc heuristics to filter unreliable tests. Yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Hui Sun , Yun-Ji Zhang , Zheng Xie , Ren-Biao Liu , Yali Du , Xin-Ye Li , Ming Li

Established approaches to obtain generalization bounds in data-driven optimization and machine learning mostly build on solutions from empirical risk minimization (ERM), which depend crucially on the functional complexity of the hypothesis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Yibo Zeng , Henry Lam

The lasso is a popular tool for sparse linear regression, especially for problems in which the number of variables p exceeds the number of observations n. But when p>n, the lasso criterion is not strictly convex, and hence it may not have a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Ryan J. Tibshirani

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples is vital for developing machine learning based models for critical safety systems. Common approaches for OOD detection assume access to some OOD samples during training which may not be available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Koby Bibas , Meir Feder , Tal Hassner

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular approach for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, when the number of folds is large, CV suffers from a need to repeatedly refit a learning procedure on a large number of training datasets.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ashia Wilson , Maximilian Kasy , Lester Mackey

For learned models to be trustworthy, it is essential to verify their robustness to perturbations in the training data. Classical approaches involve uncertainty quantification via confidence intervals and bootstrap methods. In contrast,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Eyar Azar , Michael J. Feldman , Boaz Nadler

We study the decentralized online regularized linear regression algorithm over random time-varying graphs. At each time step, every node runs an online estimation algorithm consisting of an innovation term processing its own new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Xiwei Zhang , Tao Li , Xiaozheng Fu

We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the l1-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso. For various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Francis Bach

Relative error estimation has been recently used in regression analysis. A crucial issue of the existing relative error estimation procedures is that they are sensitive to outliers. To address this issue, we employ the $\gamma$-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-17 Kei Hirose , Hiroki Masuda

This note develops an analysis of the Lasso \( \hat b\) in linear models without any sparsity or L1 assumption on the true regression vector, in the proportional regime where dimension \( p \) and sample \( n \) are of the same order. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Pierre C. Bellec

The Lasso is one of the most important approaches for parameter estimation and variable selection in high dimensional linear regression. At the heart of its success is the attractive rate of convergence result even when $p$, the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Junlong Zhao , Chenlei Leng

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator or Lasso is one of the widely used regularization methods in regression. Statisticians usually implement Lasso in practice by choosing the penalty parameter in a data-dependent way, the most…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

We study the problem of online convex optimization (OCO) under unknown linear constraints that are either static, or stochastically time-varying. For this problem, we introduce an algorithm that we term Optimistically Safe OCO (OSOCO) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Spencer Hutchinson , Tianyi Chen , Mahnoosh Alizadeh

Algorithmic stability is a classical approach to understanding and analysis of the generalization error of learning algorithms. A notable weakness of most stability-based generalization bounds is that they hold only in expectation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Vitaly Feldman , Jan Vondrak

Sample efficiency in Reinforcement Learning (RL) has traditionally been driven by algorithmic enhancements. In this work, we demonstrate that scaling can also lead to substantial improvements. We conduct a thorough investigation into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Michal Nauman , Mateusz Ostaszewski , Krzysztof Jankowski , Piotr Miłoś , Marek Cygan