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Zero-inflated explanatory variables are common in fields such as ecology and finance. In this paper we address the problem of having excess of zero values in some explanatory variables which are subject to multioutcome lasso-regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Jyrki Möttönen , Tero Lähderanta , Janne Salonen , Mikko J. Sillanpää

This paper is concerned with high-dimensional error-in-variables regression that aims at identifying a small number of important interpretable factors for corrupted data from many applications where measurement errors or missing data can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Ting Tao , Shaohua Pan , Shujun Bi

We consider predictive checking for Bayesian model assessment using leave-one-out probability integral transform (LOO-PIT). LOO-PIT values are conditional cumulative predictive probabilities given LOO predictive distributions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Herman Tesso , Aki Vehtari

Machine learning has achieved tremendous success in a variety of domains in recent years. However, a lot of these success stories have been in places where the training and the testing distributions are extremely similar to each other. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-05 Martin Arjovsky

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs is critical for safely deploying deep learning models in the real world. Existing approaches for detecting OOD examples work well when evaluated on benign in-distribution and OOD samples. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Jiefeng Chen , Yixuan Li , Xi Wu , Yingyu Liang , Somesh Jha

As the main workhorse for model selection, Cross Validation (CV) has achieved an empirical success due to its simplicity and intuitiveness. However, despite its ubiquitous role, CV often falls into the following notorious dilemmas. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Weikai Li , Chuanxing Geng , Songcan Chen

Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) algorithms are a popular class of learning algorithms for online linear optimization (OLO) that guarantee sub-linear regret, but the choice of regularizer can significantly impact dimension-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Khashayar Gatmiry , Jon Schneider , Stefanie Jegelka

Prediction models often fail if train and test data do not stem from the same distribution. Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization to unseen, perturbed test data is a desirable but difficult-to-achieve property for prediction models and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Lucas Kook , Beate Sick , Peter Bühlmann

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Pierre Bayle , Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

Regularized estimators in the context of group variables have been applied successfully in model and feature selection in order to preserve interpretability. We formulate a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) problem which recovers…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang

In the sparse linear regression setting, we consider testing the significance of the predictor variable that enters the current lasso model, in the sequence of models visited along the lasso solution path. We propose a simple test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Richard Lockhart , Jonathan Taylor , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Robert Tibshirani

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp

The requirement of uncertainty quantification for anomaly detection systems has become increasingly important. In this context, effectively controlling Type I error rates ($\alpha$) without compromising the statistical power ($1-\beta$) of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Oliver Hennhöfer , Christine Preisach

Least squares linear regression is one of the oldest and widely used data analysis tools. Although the theoretical analysis of the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator is as old, several fundamental questions are yet to be answered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Junhui Cai

Using unlabeled data to regularize the machine learning models has demonstrated promise for improving safety and reliability in detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) data. Harnessing the power of unlabeled in-the-wild data is non-trivial due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Xuefeng Du , Zhen Fang , Ilias Diakonikolas , Yixuan Li

This paper addresses the robust estimation of linear regression models in the presence of potentially endogenous outliers. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we demonstrate that existing $L_1$-regularized estimation methods, including the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-08 Zhan Gao , Hyungsik Roger Moon

Linearly parametrized models are widely used in control and signal processing, with the least-squares (LS) estimate being the archetypical solution. When the input is insufficiently exciting, the LS problem may be unsolvable or numerically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

The present paper provides a new generic strategy leading to non-asymptotic theoretical guarantees on the Leave-one-Out procedure applied to a broad class of learning algorithms. This strategy relies on two main ingredients: the new notion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-24 Alain Celisse , Benjamin Guedj

The log transformation is widely used in linear regression, mainly because coefficients are interpretable as proportional effects. Yet this practice has fundamental limitations, most notably that the log is undefined at zero, creating an…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-22 David Benatia , Christophe Bellégo , Louis Pape