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Related papers: Predictor-Rejector Multi-Class Abstention: Theoret…

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Learning with abstention is a key scenario where the learner can abstain from making a prediction at some cost. In this paper, we analyze the score-based formulation of learning with abstention in the multi-class classification setting. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable performance but face critical challenges: hallucinations and high inference costs. Leveraging multiple experts offers a solution: deferring uncertain inputs to more capable experts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Anqi Mao

We introduce a novel framework of ranking with abstention, where the learner can abstain from making prediction at some limited cost $c$. We present a extensive theoretical analysis of this framework including a series of $H$-consistency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

A binary classifier capable of abstaining from making a label prediction has two goals in tension: minimizing errors, and avoiding abstaining unnecessarily often. In this work, we exactly characterize the best achievable tradeoff between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-30 Akshay Balsubramani

Multi-horizon time-series forecasting involves simultaneously making predictions for a consecutive sequence of subsequent time steps. This task arises in many application domains, such as healthcare and finance, where mispredictions can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Luca Stradiotti , Laurens Devos , Anna Monreale , Jesse Davis , Andrea Pugnana

We present a study of surrogate losses and algorithms for the general problem of learning to defer with multiple experts. We first introduce a new family of surrogate losses specifically tailored for the multiple-expert setting, where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

We consider the problem of $n$-class classification ($n\geq 2$), where the classifier can choose to abstain from making predictions at a given cost, say, a factor $\alpha$ of the cost of misclassification. Designing consistent algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-18 Harish G. Ramaswamy , Ambuj Tewari , Shivani Agarwal

Policy learning algorithms are widely used in areas such as personalized medicine and advertising to develop individualized treatment regimes. However, most methods force a decision even when predictions are uncertain, which is risky in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Ayush Sawarni , Jikai Jin , Justin Whitehouse , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We explore the problem of binary classification in machine learning, with a twist - the classifier is allowed to abstain on any datum, professing ignorance about the true class label without committing to any prediction. This is directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-29 Akshay Balsubramani

Learning to defer with multiple experts is a framework where the learner can choose to defer the prediction to several experts. While this problem has received significant attention in classification contexts, it presents unique challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Learning with rejection is an important framework that can refrain from making predictions to avoid critical mispredictions by balancing between prediction and rejection. Previous studies on cost-based rejection only focused on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Xin Cheng , Yuzhou Cao , Haobo Wang , Hongxin Wei , Bo An , Lei Feng

Ranking systems influence decision-making in high-stakes domains like health, education, and employment, where they can have substantial economic and social impacts. This makes the integration of safety mechanisms essential. One such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Antonio Ferrara , Andrea Pugnana , Francesco Bonchi , Salvatore Ruggieri

The earth system is exceedingly complex and often chaotic in nature, making prediction incredibly challenging: we cannot expect to make perfect predictions all of the time. Instead, we look for specific states of the system that lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Randal J. Barnes

The earth system is exceedingly complex and often chaotic in nature, making prediction incredibly challenging: we cannot expect to make perfect predictions all of the time. Instead, we look for specific states of the system that lead to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Randal J. Barnes

Modern machine learning approaches to classification, including AdaBoost, support vector machines, and deep neural networks, utilize surrogate loss techniques to circumvent the computational complexity of minimizing empirical classification…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-26 Toru Kitagawa , Shosei Sakaguchi , Aleksey Tetenov

Machine learning models always make a prediction, even when it is likely to be inaccurate. This behavior should be avoided in many decision support applications, where mistakes can have severe consequences. Albeit already studied in 1970,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Kilian Hendrickx , Lorenzo Perini , Dries Van der Plas , Wannes Meert , Jesse Davis

Classification with abstention has gained a lot of attention in recent years as it allows to incorporate human decision-makers in the process. Yet, abstention can potentially amplify disparities and lead to discriminatory predictions. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Nicolas Schreuder , Evgenii Chzhen

Learning with rejection has been a prototypical model for studying the human-AI interaction on prediction tasks. Upon the arrival of a sample instance, the model first uses a rejector to decide whether to accept and use the AI predictor to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Xiaocheng Li , Shang Liu , Chunlin Sun , Hanzhao Wang

In high-stakes applications, predictive models must not only produce accurate predictions but also quantify and communicate their uncertainty. Reject-option prediction addresses this by allowing the model to abstain when prediction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Vojtech Franc , Jakub Paplham

We study the problem of classification with a reject option for a fixed predictor, applicable in natural language processing. We introduce a new problem formulation for this scenario, and an algorithm minimizing a new surrogate loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Christopher Mohri , Daniel Andor , Eunsol Choi , Michael Collins
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