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In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full conditional coverage guarantees. A wealth of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Hamed Hassani

Model averaging methods have become an increasingly popular tool for improving predictions and dealing with model uncertainty, especially in Bayesian settings. Recently, frequentist model averaging methods such as information theoretic and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kevin Huynh

We study partially linear models when the outcome of interest and some of the covariates are observed in two different datasets that cannot be linked. This type of data combination problem arises very frequently in empirical microeconomics.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-23 Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Christophe Gaillac , Arnaud Maurel

Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

Given data y(n) and p(n)covariates x(n) one problem in linear regression is to decide which if any of the covariates to include. There are many articles on this problem but all are based on a stochastic model for the data. This paper gives…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-06 Laurie Davies

We present recent advances in the analysis of constrained optimization problems with constraints given by singular mappings obtained within the framework of the $p$-regularity theory developed over the last twenty years. In particular, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Ewa Bednarczuk , Agnieszka Prusińska , Alexey Tret'yakov

We use fixed point theory to analyze nonnegative neural networks, which we define as neural networks that map nonnegative vectors to nonnegative vectors. We first show that nonnegative neural networks with nonnegative weights and biases can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomasz J. Piotrowski , Renato L. G. Cavalcante , Mateusz Gabor

We give simple deterministic reductions demonstrating the NP-hardness of approximating the nearest codeword problem and minimum distance problem within arbitrary constant factors (and almost-polynomial factors assuming NP cannot be solved…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Vijay Bhattiprolu , Venkatesan Guruswami , Xuandi Ren

We develop a pseudo-likelihood theory for rank one matrix estimation problems in the high dimensional limit. We prove a variational principle for the limiting pseudo-maximum likelihood which also characterizes the performance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Curtis Grant , Aukosh Jagannath , Justin Ko

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

Let $T\subset\mathbb{R}$ and $(X,\mathcal{U})$ be a uniform space with an at most countable gage of pseudometrics $\{d_p:p\in\mathcal{P}\}$ of the uniformity $\mathcal{U}$. Given $f\in X^T$ (=the family of all functions from $T$ into $X$),…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Vyacheslav V. Chistyakov , Svetlana A. Chistyakova

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

In this paper, we study a nonlocal variational problem which consists of minimizing in $L^2$ the sum of a quadratic data fidelity and a regularization term corresponding to the $L^p$-norm of the nonlocal gradient. In particular, we study…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Yosra Hafiene , Jalal Fadili , Abderrahim Elmoataz

We introduce a method for calculating \(p\)-values to test causal hypotheses in qualitative research \emph{a la} process tracing. As in an experiment, our \(p\)-value tells us how often one would make the same or more compelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Matias Lopez , Jake Bowers

Not a matter of serious contention, Pearson's correlation coefficient is still the most important statistical association measure. Restricted to just two variables, this measure sometimes doesn't live up to users' needs and expectations.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Reza Salimi , Kamran Pakizeh

This paper puts forward a new generalized polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), referred to as GPDD, comprising hierarchically ordered measure-consistent multivariate orthogonal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Sharif Rahman

We reexamine the classical linear regression model when the model is subject to two types of uncertainty: (i) some of covariates are either missing or completely inaccessible, and (ii) the variance of the measurement error is undetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Many multiple testing procedures make use of the p-values from the individual pairs of hypothesis tests, and are valid if the p-value statistics are independent and uniformly distributed under the null hypotheses. However, it has recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-25 Joshua D. Habiger , Edsel A. Pena

We introduce a simple diagnostic test for assessing the overall or partial goodness of fit of a linear causal model with errors being independent of the covariates. In particular, we consider situations where hidden confounding is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann , Ming Yuan

(To appear in The American Statistician.) Distance covariance (Sz\'ekely, Rizzo, and Bakirov, 2007) is a fascinating recent notion, which is popular as a test for dependence of any type between random variables $X$ and $Y$. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw