Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Theory for High-Dimensional Rank One Inference

We develop a pseudo-likelihood theory for rank one matrix estimation problems in the high dimensional limit. We prove a variational principle for the limiting pseudo-maximum likelihood which also characterizes the performance of the corresponding pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator. We show that this variational principle is universal and depends only on four parameters determined by the corresponding null model. Through this universality, we introduce a notion of equivalence for estimation problems of this type and, in particular, show that a broad class of estimation tasks, including community detection, sparse submatrix detection, and non-linear spiked matrix models, are equivalent to spiked matrix models. As an application, we obtain a complete description of the performance of the least-squares (or ``best rank one'') estimator for any rank one matrix estimation problem.