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A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

Cross-project defect prediction (CPDP) has been deemed as an emerging technology of software quality assurance, especially in new or inactive projects, and a few improved methods have been proposed to support better defect prediction.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-11-18 Peng He , Bing Li , Yutao Ma

Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

Deep Learning predictions with measurable confidence are increasingly desirable for real-world problems, especially in high-risk settings. The Conformal Prediction (CP) framework is a versatile solution that guarantees a maximum error rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Julia A. Meister , Khuong An Nguyen , Stelios Kapetanakis , Zhiyuan Luo

Conditional density estimation (CDE) - recovering the full conditional distribution of a response given tabular covariates - is essential in settings with heteroscedasticity, multimodality, or asymmetric uncertainty. Recent tabular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Rafael Izbicki , Pedro L. C. Rodrigues

Conformal prediction has emerged as an effective strategy for uncertainty quantification by modifying a model to output sets of labels instead of a single label. These prediction sets come with the guarantee that they contain the true label…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Haosen Ge , Hamsa Bastani , Osbert Bastani

Cancer drug response prediction (DRP) models present a promising approach towards precision oncology, tailoring treatments to individual patient profiles. While deep learning (DL) methods have shown great potential in this area, models that…

Conformal Prediction (CP) serves as a robust framework that quantifies uncertainty in predictions made by Machine Learning (ML) models. Unlike traditional point predictors, CP generates statistically valid prediction regions, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 A. A. Balinsky , A. D. Balinsky

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a distribution-free approach to uncertainty quantification with finite-sample guarantees. However, applying CP to graph neural networks (GNNs) remains challenging as the combinatorial nature of graphs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Peyman Baghershahi , Fangxin Wang , Debmalya Mandal , Sourav Medya

Crystal structure prediction (CSP) is now increasingly used in the discovery of novel materials with applications in diverse industries. However, despite decades of developments, the problem is far from being solved. With the progress of…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-07-13 Lai Wei , Qin Li , Sadman Sadeed Omee , Jianjun Hu

Recent methods in quantile regression have adopted a classification perspective to handle challenges posed by heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed data by quantizing outputs into fixed bins. Although these regression-as-classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Batuhan Cengiz , Halil Faruk Karagoz , Tufan Kumbasar

Consider a scenario where we have access to train data with both covariates and outcomes while test data only contains covariates. In this scenario, our primary aim is to predict the missing outcomes of the test data. With this objective in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Masahiro Kato , Kota Matsui , Ryo Inokuchi

Covariate shift, a widely used assumption in tackling {\it distributional shift} (when training and test distributions differ), focuses on scenarios where the distribution of the labels conditioned on the feature vector is the same, but the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Deeksha Adil , Jarosław Błasiok

Covariant density functional theory (CDFT) is a modern theoretical tool for the description of nuclear structure phenomena. The current investigation aims at the global assessment of the accuracy of the description of the ground state…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-19 S. E. Agbemava , A. V. Afanasjev , D. Ray , P. Ring

Given a sequence of random (directed and weighted) graphs, we address the problem of online monitoring and detection of changes in the underlying data distribution. Our idea is to endow sequential change-point detection (CPD) techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Bernardo Marenco , Paola Bermolen , Marcelo Fiori , Federico Larroca , Gonzalo Mateos

Absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) studies are critical for drug discovery. Conventionally, these tasks, together with other chemical property predictions, rely on domain-specific feature descriptors, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-22 Ke Liu , Xiangyan Sun , Lei Jia , Jun Ma , Haoming Xing , Junqiu Wu , Hua Gao , Yax Sun , Florian Boulnois , Jie Fan

A probability density function (pdf) encodes the entire stochastic knowledge about data distribution, where data may represent stochastic observations in robotics, transition state pairs in reinforcement learning or any other empirically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Dmitry Kopitkov , Vadim Indelman

The paper presents an application of Conformal Predictors to a chemoinformatics problem of identifying activities of chemical compounds. The paper addresses some specific challenges of this domain: a large number of compounds (training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Paolo Toccacheli , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alexander Gammerman

Large-scale multiple testing with highly correlated test statistics arises frequently in many scientific research. Incorporating correlation information in estimating false discovery proportion has attracted increasing attention in recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-28 Jianqing Fan , Xu Han

Copy Detection Patterns (CDPs) are crucial elements in modern security applications, playing a vital role in safeguarding industries such as food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics. Current performance evaluations of CDPs predominantly rely on…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Joakim Tutt , Slava Voloshynovskiy