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Machine learning models are increasingly used to predict material properties and accelerate atomistic simulations, but the reliability of their predictions depends on the representativeness of the training data. We present a scalable,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-20 Daniel Willimetz , Lukáš Grajciar

We develop a new approach to multi-label conformal prediction in which we aim to output a precise set of promising prediction candidates with a bounded number of incorrect answers. Standard conformal prediction provides the ability to adapt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

We consider inference problems for high-dimensional (HD) functional data with a dense number (T) of repeated measurements taken for a large number of p variables from a small number of n experimental units. The spatial and temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Shawn Santo , Ping-Shou Zhong

Controllable molecular graph generation is essential for material and drug discovery, where generated molecules must satisfy diverse property constraints. While recent advances in graph diffusion models have improved generation quality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Anjie Qiao , Zhen Wang , Chuan Chen , DeFu Lian , Enhong Chen

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

Computational drug repositioning technology is an effective tool to accelerate drug development. Although this technique has been widely used and successful in recent decades, many existing models still suffer from multiple drawbacks such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Xinxing Yang , Genke Yang , Jian Chu

Molecular property calculations are the bedrock of chemical physics. High-fidelity \textit{ab initio} modeling techniques for computing the molecular properties can be prohibitively expensive, and motivate the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Hatem Helal , Jesun Firoz , Jenna Bilbrey , Mario Michael Krell , Tom Murray , Ang Li , Sotiris Xantheas , Sutanay Choudhury

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

We propose a new method for predicting multiple missing links in partially observed networks while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), a largely unresolved challenge in network analysis. The main difficulty lies in handling complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Wenqin Du , Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang , Wen Zhou

Conformal prediction is a framework that provides valid uncertainty quantification for general models with exchangeable data. However, in the online learning and time-series settings, exchangeability is not satisfied. Existing online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Yuheng Lai , Garvesh Raskutti

Minimizing adverse reactions caused by drug-drug interactions has always been a momentous research topic in clinical pharmacology. Detecting all possible interactions through clinical studies before a drug is released to the market is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Meng Wang

The calculation of chemical shifts in solids has enabled methods to determine crystal structures in powders. The dependence of chemical shifts on local atomic environments sets them among the most powerful tools for structure elucidation of…

Background: The problem of predicting whether a drug combination of arbitrary orders is likely to induce adverse drug reactions is considered in this manuscript. Methods: Novel kernels over drug combinations of arbitrary orders are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Wen-Hao Chiang , Li Shen , Lang Li , Xia Ning

The fundamental quantity governing the mechanical and thermodynamic properties of a crystalline solid is its electronic charge density. Yet, its direct use for the rapid prediction of materials properties remains challenging due to its high…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-11 Kammampati Sai Kumar , Albert Linda , Shubham Kumar Maurya , Somnath Bhowmick

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with finite-sample conditional guarantees. We build upon the RKHS-based framework of Gibbs et al. (2023), which leverages families of covariate shifts to provide approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Yating Liu , Yeo Jin Jung , Zixuan Wu , So Won Jeong , Claire Donnat

Change point detection (CPD) and anomaly detection (AD) are essential techniques in various fields to identify abrupt changes or abnormal data instances. However, existing methods are often constrained to univariate data, face scalability…

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

Conformal prediction (CP) produces prediction regions with finite-sample, distribution free coverage guarantees, but its interpretation as a quantitative uncertainty tool is often left implicit. We develop a category-theoretic approach that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Michele Caprio

In astronomy, we frequently face the decision problem: does this data contain a signal? Typically, a statistical approach is used, which requires a threshold. The choice of threshold presents a common challenge in settings where signals and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-06-10 Gregory Ashton , Nicolo Colombo , Ian Harry , Surabhi Sachdev

This paper presents new methodology for computationally efficient kernel density estimation. It is shown that a large class of kernels allows for exact evaluation of the density estimates using simple recursions. The same methodology can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-12 David P. Hofmeyr
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