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Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) achieve near ab initio accuracy at a fraction of the cost of quantum-mechanical simulations, yet they remain prone to silent failures on out-of-distribution configurations, making principled…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Olga Zaghen , Maksim Zhdanov , Dario Coscia , David R. Wessels , Erik J. Bekkers

Uncertainty quantification is at the core of the reliability and robustness of machine learning. In this paper, we provide a theoretical framework to dissect the uncertainty, especially the \textit{epistemic} component, in deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

Reduced quasilinear (QL) and nonlinear (gradient-driven) models with scale separations, commonly used to interpret experiments and to forecast turbulent transport levels in magnetised plasmas are tested against nonlinear models without…

Convection of liquid metals drives large natural processes and is important in technical processes. Model experiments are conducted for research purposes where simulations are expensive and the clarification of open questions requires novel…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-18 David Weik , Zehua Dou , Dirk Räbiger , Tobias Vogt , Sven Eckert , Jürgen Czarske , Lars Büttner

This review is designed to introduce mathematicians and computational scientists to quantum computing (QC) through the lens of uncertainty quantification (UQ) by presenting a mathematically rigorous and accessible narrative for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Ryan Bennink , Olena Burkovska , Konstantin Pieper , Jorge Ramirez , Elaine Wong

Nonlinear initial value turbulence simulations often exhibit large temporal variations in their dynamics. Quantifying the temporal uncertainty of turbulence simulation outputs is an important component of validating the simulation results…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-03-01 Payam Vaezi , Chris Holland

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Timo Löhr , Paul Hofman , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

Uncertainty quantification by ensemble learning is explored in terms of an application from computational optical form measurements. The application requires to solve a large-scale, nonlinear inverse problem. Ensemble learning is used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Lara Hoffmann , Ines Fortmeier , Clemens Elster

Predicting the spatiotemporal variation in streamflow along with uncertainty quantification enables decision-making for sustainable management of scarce water resources. Process-based hydrological models (aka physics-based models) are based…

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

This paper proposes the TrafficFlowGAN, a physics-informed flow based generative adversarial network (GAN), for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of dynamical systems. TrafficFlowGAN adopts a normalizing flow model as the generator to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Zhaobin Mo , Yongjie Fu , Daran Xu , Xuan Di

The ability to replicate predictions by machine learning (ML) or artificial intelligence (AI) models and results in scientific workflows that incorporate such ML/AI predictions is driven by numerous factors. An uncertainty-aware metric that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Line Pouchard , Kristofer G. Reyes , Francis J. Alexander , Byung-Jun Yoon

We present a Machine Learning approach to solve electronic quantum transport equations of one-dimensional nanostructures. The transmission coefficients of disordered systems were computed to provide training and test datasets to the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Alejandro Lopez-Bezanilla , O. Anatole von Lilienfeld

In computational fluid dynamics simulations of industrial flows, models based on the Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) equations are expected to play an important role in decades to come. However, model uncertainties are still a major…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-01 Heng Xiao , Paola Cinnella

One of the key obstacles in traditional deep learning is the reduction in model transparency caused by increasingly intricate model functions, which can lead to problems such as overfitting and excessive confidence in predictions. With the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Maximilian Wendlinger , Kilian Tscharke , Pascal Debus

Edge plasma turbulence is critical to the performance of magnetic confinement fusion devices. Towards better understanding edge turbulence in both theory and experiment, a custom-built physics-informed deep learning framework constrained by…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2022-05-17 Abhilash Mathews

When simulating multiscale systems, where some fields cannot be fully prescribed despite their effects on the simulation's accuracy, closure models are needed. This phenomenon is observed in turbulent fluid dynamics, where Large Eddy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-01 Eduardo Vital , Jean-Marc Gratien , Yassine Ayoun , Thibault Faney , Julien Bohbot

Computational chemistry has come a long way over the course of several decades, enabling subatomic level calculations particularly with the development of Density Functional Theory (DFT). Recently, machine-learned potentials (MLP) have…

Recent works have presented promising results from the application of machine learning (ML) to the modeling of flow rates in oil and gas wells. Encouraging results and advantageous properties of ML models, such as computationally cheap…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Bjarne Grimstad , Mathilde Hotvedt , Anders T. Sandnes , Odd Kolbjørnsen , Lars S. Imsland

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang